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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 1.0x - 1.1x | 1.1x |
Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 0.9x - 1.0x | 1.0x |
Fair Value | €1,514 - €1,674 | €1,594 |
Upside | -32.4% - -25.3% | -28.8% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
ADRIATIC osiguranje d.d. | - | ZGSE:JDOS |
UNIQA Insurance Group AG | - | WBAG:UQA |
Kompanija Dunav Osiguranje a.d.o. | - | BELEX:DNOS |
Cosmos Insurance Company Public Ltd. | - | CSE:COS |
Atlantic Insurance Company Public Limited | - | CSE:ATL |
Croatia osiguranje d.d. | - | ZGSE:CROS |
Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
JDOS | UQA | DNOS | COS | ATL | CROS | |||
ZGSE:JDOS | WBAG:UQA | BELEX:DNOS | CSE:COS | CSE:ATL | ZGSE:CROS | |||
Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 19.6% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | ||
3Y CAGR | NM- | 0.4% | 6.0% | 14.4% | 3.6% | 7.9% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 14.0% | 8.7% | -3.6% | 5.9% | 10.6% | 22.9% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 2.4% | 3.8% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 34.8% | 10.3% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 1.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 46.2% | 10.5% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 1.7% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 44.2% | 9.8% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 1.5% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 44.2% | 9.8% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 14.6x | 9.3x | 5.5x | 5.4x | 6.6x | 12.8x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.3x | 0.5x | 0.5x | 0.9x | 3.1x | 1.5x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 16.7x | 10.7x | 6.9x | 6.9x | 7.0x | 15.2x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.3x | 0.5x | 3.1x | |||||
Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.7x | 0.8x | 1.3x | |||||
Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 1.0x | 1.1x | 1.1x | |||||
(x) LTM Sales | 633 | 633 | 633 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 646 | 681 | 715 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 1,535.79 | 1,616.62 | 1,697.45 | |||||
FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1,535.79 | 1,616.62 | 1,697.45 | 2,240.00 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -31.4% | -27.8% | -24.2% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | JDOS | UQA | DNOS | COS | ATL | CROS | |
Value of Common Equity | 62 | 3,708 | 21,128 | 19 | 93 | 943 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 0.1 | 307.0 | 15.2 | 56.5 | 38.9 | 0.4 | |
Implied Stock Price | 498.00 | 12.08 | 1,391.00 | 0.33 | 2.40 | 2,240.00 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 498.00 | 12.08 | 1,391.00 | 0.33 | 2.40 | 2,240.00 | |
Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | RSD | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |