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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 31.9x - 35.2x | 33.6x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 20.9x - 23.1x | 22.0x |
Fair Value | €620.58 - €689.28 | €654.93 |
Upside | -4.2% - 6.4% | 1.1% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Endo Inc. | NDOI | OTCPK:NDOI |
ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | ANIP | NasdaqGM:ANIP |
Indivior PLC | INDV | NasdaqGS:INDV |
Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. | AXSM | NasdaqGM:AXSM |
Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | SUPN | NasdaqGM:SUPN |
Eli Lilly and Company | LLY | XTRA:LLY |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
NDOI | ANIP | INDV | AXSM | SUPN | LLY | ||
OTCPK:NDOI | NasdaqGM:ANIP | NasdaqGS:INDV | NasdaqGM:AXSM | NasdaqGM:SUPN | XTRA:LLY | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | -2.3% | 7.6% | NM- | -16.2% | 23.9% | |
3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 16.0% | NM- | -8.3% | 28.4% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -213.4% | -72.3% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 941.7% | 70.9% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 17.3% | -1.3% | 19.5% | -275.3% | 14.0% | 31.3% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 19.2% | 10.2% | 23.8% | -67.6% | 2.2% | 31.6% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | -18.5% | 2.4% | 24.6% | -65.5% | 9.3% | 38.9% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -22.7% | 2.2% | 24.4% | -55.4% | 8.8% | 41.2% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 2.13x | 2.53x | 1.16x | 11.60x | 2.00x | 14.38x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | -46.5x | 18.9x | 4.4x | -21.7x | 9.6x | 32.0x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | -9.4x | 117.3x | 4.8x | -21.0x | 22.8x | 34.9x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -21.0x | 4.8x | 117.3x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 26.2x | 40.6x | 55.2x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 31.9x | 33.6x | 35.2x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 20,175 | 20,175 | 20,175 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 643,387 | 677,249 | 711,112 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (32,177) | (32,177) | (32,177) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 611,210 | 645,072 | 678,934 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 897.7 | 897.7 | 897.7 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 680.83 | 718.55 | 756.27 | ||||
FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 609.62 | 643.39 | 677.17 | 647.90 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -5.9% | -0.7% | 4.5% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | NDOI | ANIP | INDV | AXSM | SUPN | LLY | |
Enterprise Value | 3,686 | 1,708 | 1,346 | 5,015 | 1,335 | 681,767 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 370 | 155 | 373 | 301 | 464 | 3,222 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 3,287 | |
(-) Debt | (2,421) | (630) | (370) | (211) | (32) | (38,604) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (82) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | (25) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 1,635 | 1,208 | 1,376 | 5,104 | 1,766 | 649,590 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 76.3 | 20.0 | 124.8 | 49.2 | 56.0 | 897.7 | |
Implied Stock Price | 21.43 | 60.37 | 11.03 | 103.67 | 31.54 | 723.59 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.12 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 21.43 | 60.37 | 11.03 | 103.67 | 31.54 | 647.90 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.12 |