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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 12.7x - 14.1x | 13.4x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 12.6x - 13.9x | 13.3x |
Fair Value | €4.55 - €5.63 | €5.09 |
Upside | 4.9% - 29.8% | 17.4% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Telekom Austria AG | TKA | WBAG:TKA |
NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A. | PMV | DB:PMV |
BCE Inc. | BCE1 | DB:BCE1 |
Orange S.A. | ORA | ENXTPA:ORA |
Telecom Italia S.p.A. | TIT | BIT:TIT |
Telefónica, S.A. | TEF | WBAG:TEF |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
TKA | PMV | BCE1 | ORA | TIT | TEF | ||
WBAG:TKA | DB:PMV | DB:BCE1 | ENXTPA:ORA | BIT:TIT | WBAG:TEF | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 9.3% | 4.2% | 0.1% | 1.2% | -12.4% | -3.2% | |
3Y CAGR | 7.1% | 10.6% | 2.2% | 11.8% | 1.4% | 25.8% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 1.8% | 15.3% | 0.1% | 15.2% | -13.7% | 94.8% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 16.5% | 13.6% | 22.8% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 8.7% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 17.8% | 14.6% | 22.7% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 5.8% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 17.5% | 15.8% | 23.0% | 15.6% | 11.4% | 11.1% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 17.5% | 15.8% | 23.0% | 15.6% | 11.4% | 11.1% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.45x | 2.21x | 2.94x | 1.47x | 1.26x | 1.37x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.8x | 6.3x | 8.3x | 4.6x | 4.3x | 5.8x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 8.3x | 13.9x | 12.8x | 9.5x | 11.0x | 12.4x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 8.3x | 11.0x | 13.9x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 10.3x | 12.6x | 28.7x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 12.7x | 13.4x | 14.1x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 4,578 | 4,578 | 4,578 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 58,277 | 61,344 | 64,411 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (32,020) | (32,020) | (32,020) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 26,257 | 29,324 | 32,391 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 5,643.3 | 5,643.3 | 5,643.3 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 4.65 | 5.20 | 5.74 | ||||
FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 4.65 | 5.20 | 5.74 | 4.34 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 7.2% | 19.7% | 32.3% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | TKA | PMV | BCE1 | ORA | TIT | TEF | |
Enterprise Value | 7,704 | 3,736 | 71,918 | 59,352 | 17,934 | 56,512 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 430 | 9 | 1,972 | 12,261 | 4,570 | 8,496 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 256 | 40 | 1,218 | 6,326 | 1,050 | 9,971 | |
(-) Debt | (2,649) | (1,548) | (40,504) | (42,666) | (15,542) | (47,085) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (2) | (7) | (289) | (3,388) | (1,404) | (3,402) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | (3,533) | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 5,738 | 2,229 | 30,782 | 31,885 | 6,608 | 24,492 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 664.1 | 511.3 | 921.8 | 2,658.2 | 21,260.8 | 5,643.3 | |
Implied Stock Price | 8.64 | 4.36 | 33.39 | 12.00 | 0.31 | 4.34 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.55 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 8.64 | 4.36 | 21.49 | 12.00 | 0.31 | 4.34 | |
Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.55 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |