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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 2.5x - 2.8x | 2.6x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 2.2x - 2.5x | 2.4x |
Fair Value | C$24.73 - C$28.25 | C$26.49 |
Upside | -23.9% - -13.1% | -18.5% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
StorageVault Canada Inc. | SVI | TSX:SVI |
Bridgemarq Real Estate Services Inc. | BRE | TSX:BRE |
Altus Group Limited | AIF | TSX:AIF |
Melcor Developments Ltd. | MRD | TSX:MRD |
Wall Financial Corporation | WFC | TSX:WFC |
Information Services Corporation | ISC | TSX:ISC |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
SVI | BRE | AIF | MRD | WFC | ISC | |||
TSX:SVI | TSX:BRE | TSX:AIF | TSX:MRD | TSX:WFC | TSX:ISC | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 17.7% | 51.2% | -0.2% | 10.9% | -15.4% | 13.2% | ||
3Y CAGR | 13.5% | 91.2% | -6.0% | 3.5% | -5.2% | 13.5% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 5.8% | 762.6% | 17.8% | 6.6% | 33.5% | 12.8% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 13.1% | 32.4% | 7.9% | 37.3% | 23.8% | 25.1% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 22.5% | 38.1% | 1.7% | 37.9% | 35.3% | 23.8% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 23.6% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 36.4% | 32.0% | 21.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 23.2% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 36.9% | 32.0% | 24.8% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 11.41x | 0.54x | 3.65x | 2.77x | 5.84x | 3.06x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | 49.2x | 13.2x | 46.0x | 7.5x | 18.2x | 12.4x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 4.74x | 0.56x | 4.30x | 1.19x | 2.54x | 2.41x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.54x | 3.65x | 11.41x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 2.56x | 2.79x | 3.03x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 2.50x | 2.63x | 2.76x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 250 | 250 | 250 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 624 | 657 | 690 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (163) | (163) | (163) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 462 | 495 | 528 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 18.6 | 18.6 | 18.6 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 24.85 | 26.62 | 28.39 | |||||
FX Rate: CAD/CAD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 24.85 | 26.62 | 28.39 | 32.50 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -23.5% | -18.1% | -12.6% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | SVI | BRE | AIF | MRD | WFC | ISC | |
Enterprise Value | 3,531 | 224 | 1,941 | 981 | 1,260 | 767 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 18 | 7 | 492 | 61 | 9 | 17 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (2,082) | (91) | (196) | (546) | (656) | (179) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | (70) | (51) | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 1,467 | 141 | 2,277 | 426 | 561 | 604 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 365.0 | 9.5 | 43.2 | 30.2 | 32.1 | 18.6 | |
Implied Stock Price | 4.02 | 14.85 | 52.75 | 14.09 | 17.49 | 32.50 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 4.02 | 14.85 | 52.75 | 14.09 | 17.49 | 32.50 | |
Trading Currency | CAD | CAD | CAD | CAD | CAD | CAD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
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