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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 9.8% - 8.8% | 9.3% |
Terminal EBITDA Multiple | 6.1x - 8.1x | 7.1x |
Fair Value | NT$ 18.96 - NT$ 26.35 | NT$ 22.58 |
Upside | -27.6% - 0.6% | -13.8% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
(TWD in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 |
Revenue | 448 | 504 | 541 | 560 | 572 | 583 |
% Growth | 20.5% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
EBITDA | 73 | 96 | 109 | 113 | 115 | 117 |
% of Revenue | 16.4% | 19.1% | 20.1% | 20.1% | 20.1% | 20.1% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
(TWD in millions) | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | |
EBITDA | 96 | 109 | 113 | 115 | 117 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (50) | (54) | (55) | (57) | (58) | |
EBIT | 47 | 56 | 57 | 59 | 60 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (6) | (7) | (7) | (8) | (8) | |
NOPAT | 39 | 41 | 48 | 50 | 51 | 52 |
Capital Expenditures | (67) | (100) | (87) | (85) | (91) | (88) |
NWC Investment | (25) | (19) | (13) | (6) | (4) | (4) |
(+) D&A | 29 | 50 | 54 | 55 | 57 | 58 |
Free Cash Flow | (25) | (28) | 2 | 14 | 13 | 18 |
% Growth | NM | NM | 627% | -9% | 40% |