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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 10.0% - 9.0% | 9.5% |
Perpetuity Growth Rate | 0.0% - 0.5% | 0.0% |
Fair Value | NT$ 100.52 - NT$ 121.58 | NT$ 107.38 |
Upside | 16.7% - 41.2% | 24.7% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | |||||||
(TWD in millions) | Input Projections | ||||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | |
Revenue | 4,731 | 5,574 | 6,503 | 7,316 | 7,865 | 8,140 | |
% Growth | 9.0% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 3.5% | |
EBITDA | 134 | 151 | 151 | 353 | 458 | 474 | |
% of Revenue | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | |||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | |||||||
(TWD in millions) | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Terminal | |
EBITDA | 151 | 151 | 353 | 458 | 474 | 474 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 38 | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (15) | (17) | (19) | (21) | (22) | (7) | |
EBIT | 174 | 209 | 333 | 437 | 452 | 467 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (47) | (56) | (90) | (118) | (122) | (126) | |
NOPAT | 89 | 127 | 153 | 243 | 319 | 330 | 341 |
Capital Expenditures | (6) | (6) | (6) | (7) | (7) | (8) | (8) |
NWC Investment | (81) | (173) | (191) | (167) | (113) | (57) | 0 |
(+) D&A | 13 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 7 |
Free Cash Flow | 15 | (38) | (27) | 89 | 220 | 288 | 340 |
% Growth | NM | NM | NM | 147% | 31% | 18% |