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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 8.8% - 7.8% | 8.3% |
Perpetuity Growth Rate | 2.5% - 3.5% | 3.0% |
Fair Value | NT$ 74.61 - NT$ 110.14 | NT$ 89 |
Upside | -12.8% - 28.7% | 4.0% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | |||||||
(TWD in millions) | Input Projections | ||||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Dec-23 | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | |
Revenue | 4,340 | 4,491 | 4,581 | 4,673 | 4,766 | 4,862 | |
% Growth | 7.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | |
EBITDA | 218 | 219 | 223 | 228 | 232 | 237 | |
% of Revenue | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | |||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | |||||||
(TWD in millions) | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Terminal | |
EBITDA | 219 | 223 | 228 | 232 | 237 | 237 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (13) | (13) | (14) | (14) | (14) | (4) | |
EBIT | 206 | 210 | 214 | 218 | 223 | 233 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (56) | (57) | (58) | (59) | (60) | (63) | |
NOPAT | 151 | 150 | 153 | 156 | 159 | 162 | 170 |
Capital Expenditures | (3) | (3) | (4) | (4) | (4) | (4) | (4) |
NWC Investment | (61) | (32) | (19) | (19) | (20) | (20) | (31) |
(+) D&A | 11 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 4 |
Free Cash Flow | 98 | 128 | 144 | 147 | 150 | 153 | 139 |
% Growth | 30% | 13% | 2% | 2% | 2% | -9% |