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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 8.5% - 7.5% | 8.0% |
Terminal EBITDA Multiple | 13.9x - 15.9x | 14.9x |
Fair Value | ₪35.90 - ₪44.33 | ₪40.03 |
Upside | -8.8% - 12.6% | 1.7% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
(ILS in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 |
Revenue | 15,644 | 16,915 | 17,507 | 17,857 | 18,214 | 18,579 |
% Growth | 3.0% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
EBITDA | 1,435 | 1,083 | 1,121 | 1,143 | 1,166 | 1,190 |
% of Revenue | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
(ILS in millions) | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | |
EBITDA | 1,083 | 1,121 | 1,143 | 1,166 | 1,190 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (231) | (239) | (244) | (249) | (254) | |
EBIT | 852 | 882 | 899 | 917 | 936 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (204) | (212) | (216) | (220) | (225) | |
NOPAT | 720 | 648 | 670 | 684 | 697 | 711 |
Capital Expenditures | (265) | (427) | (442) | (451) | (460) | (469) |
NWC Investment | 58 | 160 | 75 | 44 | 45 | 46 |
(+) D&A | 488 | 231 | 239 | 244 | 249 | 254 |
Free Cash Flow | 1,001 | 612 | 542 | 521 | 531 | 542 |
% Growth | -39% | -11% | -4% | 2% | 2% |