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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 10.0% - 9.0% | 9.5% |
Terminal Revenue Multiple | 2.2x - 2.5x | 2.4x |
Fair Value | ₪9.40 - ₪10.65 | ₪10 |
Upside | 10.0% - 24.7% | 17.1% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | |||||||||||
(ILS in millions) | Input Projections | ||||||||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Dec-32 | Dec-33 | Dec-34 |
Revenue | 526 | 592 | 636 | 658 | 672 | 685 | 699 | 713 | 727 | 742 | 756 |
% Growth | 18.1% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
EBITDA | 85 | 95 | 108 | 112 | 114 | 116 | 119 | 121 | 123 | 126 | 128 |
% of Revenue | 16.1% | 16.0% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 17.0% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | |||||||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | |||||||||||
Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Dec-32 | Dec-33 | Dec-34 | ||
EBITDA | 95 | 108 | 112 | 114 | 116 | 119 | 121 | 123 | 126 | 128 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) | |
EBIT | 92 | 105 | 109 | 111 | 113 | 115 | 118 | 120 | 123 | 125 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (24) | (27) | (28) | (29) | (29) | (30) | (31) | (31) | (32) | (33) | |
NOPAT | 62 | 68 | 78 | 81 | 82 | 84 | 85 | 87 | 89 | 91 | 93 |
Capital Expenditures | (0) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) |
NWC Investment | (4) | (3) | (2) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) |
(+) D&A | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Free Cash Flow | 59 | 66 | 77 | 81 | 83 | 85 | 87 | 88 | 90 | 92 | 94 |
% Growth | 17% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% |