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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 5.5x - 6.1x | 5.8x |
Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 5.4x - 6.0x | 5.7x |
Fair Value | ¥17.49 - ¥19.33 | ¥18.41 |
Upside | -32.2% - -25.1% | -28.7% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Wasu Media Holding Co.,Ltd | 15,600.0% | SZSE:000156 |
Shanghai Xinhua Media Co., Ltd. | 60,082,500.0% | SHSE:600825 |
Astro-century Education&Technology Co.,Ltd | 30,065,400.0% | SZSE:300654 |
BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group Co., Ltd. | 30,005,800.0% | SZSE:300058 |
Leo Group Co., Ltd. | 213,100.0% | SZSE:002131 |
Rongxin Education and Culture Industry Development Co., Ltd. | 30,123,100.0% | SZSE:301231 |
Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
156 | 600825 | 300654 | 300058 | 2131 | 301231 | |||
SZSE:000156 | SHSE:600825 | SZSE:300654 | SZSE:300058 | SZSE:002131 | SZSE:301231 | |||
Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 6.1% | -1.3% | 6.6% | 17.9% | 11.3% | -4.9% | ||
3Y CAGR | 3.5% | 0.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | -10.5% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -3.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 33.0% | -0.7% | -5.9% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 9.4% | -2.8% | 8.7% | -0.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 7.1% | 0.7% | 8.3% | -5.9% | -2.2% | 7.3% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 5.7% | 2.8% | 8.1% | 0.2% | 9.6% | 3.6% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 5.7% | 1.3% | 8.1% | -0.1% | -1.5% | -8.8% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.8x | 63.0x | 45.8x | -59.2x | 65.1x | -57.6x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 1.6x | 4.8x | 6.9x | 0.3x | 1.0x | 8.4x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 27.8x | 358.9x | 85.0x | -424.6x | -69.0x | -95.3x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.3x | 1.6x | 6.9x | |||||
Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.0x | 5.1x | 7.7x | |||||
Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 5.5x | 5.8x | 6.1x | |||||
(x) LTM Sales | 264 | 264 | 264 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 1,447 | 1,523 | 1,599 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 83.9 | 83.9 | 83.9 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 17.25 | 18.16 | 19.07 | |||||
FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 17.25 | 18.16 | 19.07 | 25.81 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -33.2% | -29.6% | -26.1% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 156 | 600825 | 300654 | 300058 | 2131 | 301231 | |
Value of Common Equity | 14,868 | 6,353 | 3,650 | 20,467 | 20,649 | 2,165 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,961.5 | 1,044.9 | 366.1 | 2,526.8 | 6,493.3 | 83.9 | |
Implied Stock Price | 7.58 | 6.08 | 9.97 | 8.10 | 3.18 | 25.81 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 7.58 | 6.08 | 9.97 | 8.10 | 3.18 | 25.81 | |
Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |