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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | -50.6x - -56.0x | -53.3x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 8.9x - 9.8x | 9.4x |
Fair Value | ¥12.34 - ¥13.63 | ¥12.98 |
Upside | -35.6% - -28.9% | -32.2% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Zhejiang VIE Science & Technology Co., Ltd. | 2590 | SZSE:002590 |
Chengdu Xiling Power Science & Technology Incorporated Company | 300733 | SZSE:300733 |
Xiangyang Changyuandonggu Industry Co., Ltd. | 603950 | SHSE:603950 |
Zhejiang Founder Motor Co., Ltd. | 2196 | SZSE:002196 |
Shenzhen Dawei Innovation Technology Co., Ltd. | 2213 | SZSE:002213 |
Fulin Precision Co., Ltd. | 300432 | SZSE:300432 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
2590 | 300733 | 603950 | 2196 | 2213 | 300432 | ||
SZSE:002590 | SZSE:300733 | SHSE:603950 | SZSE:002196 | SZSE:002213 | SZSE:300432 | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 6.0% | -4.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | NM- | NM- | |
3Y CAGR | 8.4% | 7.8% | 2.9% | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
Latest Twelve Months | 105.4% | 4.9% | 22.0% | 306.8% | -2140.6% | -146.9% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 6.4% | 14.2% | 27.6% | -2.8% | 0.6% | 13.0% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 4.1% | 16.9% | 27.0% | -5.2% | 3.4% | 13.7% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 7.3% | 6.1% | 25.3% | 4.0% | -6.5% | -8.5% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 9.7% | 9.8% | 25.3% | 2.3% | -6.6% | -3.4% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.46x | 3.18x | 4.47x | 1.75x | 3.30x | 3.12x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 15.0x | 32.5x | 17.7x | 75.8x | -49.9x | -92.9x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 25.9x | 281.1x | 36.5x | -96.9x | -47.9x | -41.4x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -49.9x | 17.7x | 75.8x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -8.6x | 20.0x | 47.1x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | -50.6x | -53.3x | -56.0x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | (250) | (250) | (250) | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 12,676 | 13,344 | 14,011 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 130 | 130 | 130 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 12,806 | 13,473 | 14,141 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,221.3 | 1,221.3 | 1,221.3 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 10.49 | 11.03 | 11.58 | ||||
FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 10.49 | 11.03 | 11.58 | 19.16 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -45.3% | -42.4% | -39.6% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 2590 | 300733 | 603950 | 2196 | 2213 | 300432 | |
Enterprise Value | 6,228 | 5,271 | 8,555 | 4,706 | 3,334 | 23,269 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,127 | 193 | 340 | 381 | 159 | 1,090 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 150 | 0 | 33 | 70 | 5 | 334 | |
(-) Debt | (654) | (434) | (742) | (876) | (29) | (1,236) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (93) | (35) | (26) | (2) | (4) | (58) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 6,758 | 4,995 | 8,159 | 4,279 | 3,465 | 23,399 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 519.1 | 303.1 | 323.1 | 495.9 | 237.2 | 1,221.3 | |
Implied Stock Price | 13.02 | 16.48 | 25.25 | 8.63 | 14.61 | 19.16 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 13.02 | 16.48 | 25.25 | 8.63 | 14.61 | 19.16 | |
Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |