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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 1.4x - 1.6x | 1.5x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 1.3x - 1.4x | 1.3x |
| Fair Value | ¥3.27 - ¥3.61 | ¥3.44 |
| Upside | -18.7% - -10.2% | -14.5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Sinosteel Luonai Materials Technology Co., Ltd. | 68,811,900.0% | SHSE:688119 |
| Lionhead Technology Development Co.,Ltd. | 60,053,900.0% | SHSE:600539 |
| Guangdong Tapai Group Co., Ltd. | 223,300.0% | SZSE:002233 |
| Shandong Longquan Pipe Industry Co.,Ltd | 267,100.0% | SZSE:002671 |
| China Shanshui Cement Group Limited | 69,100.0% | SEHK:691 |
| Jiangsu Baoli International Investment Co., Ltd. | 30,013,500.0% | SZSE:300135 |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 688119 | 600539 | 2233 | 2671 | 691 | 300135 | |||
| SHSE:688119 | SHSE:600539 | SZSE:002233 | SZSE:002671 | SEHK:691 | SZSE:300135 | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 3.8% | 37.5% | -9.1% | 0.5% | -7.5% | 0.9% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -6.2% | 30.3% | -17.8% | -5.9% | -16.2% | 2.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -12.9% | -17.0% | -22.7% | 3.5% | -19.9% | -8.9% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 5.8% | -6.5% | 17.2% | -13.0% | 5.7% | -2.4% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 2.8% | 3.0% | 13.4% | 2.5% | -4.9% | -7.0% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | -2.7% | -16.9% | 12.6% | 5.7% | -1.0% | -2.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -2.7% | -14.8% | 12.6% | 5.7% | -1.0% | -1.7% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 93.0x | -41.0x | 3.3x | 9.4x | 2.1x | -171.9x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 1.9x | 5.4x | 2.2x | 2.1x | 0.2x | 1.6x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | -70.8x | -36.6x | 17.8x | 36.6x | -17.1x | -91.5x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.2x | 2.1x | 5.4x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 1.1x | 1.2x | 1.2x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 1.4x | 1.5x | 1.6x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 2,325 | 2,325 | 2,325 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 3,271 | 3,443 | 3,615 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 915.6 | 915.6 | 915.6 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 3.57 | 3.76 | 3.95 | |||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 3.57 | 3.76 | 3.95 | 4.02 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -11.1% | -6.5% | -1.8% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 688119 | 600539 | 2233 | 2671 | 691 | 300135 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 4,185 | 2,475 | 9,600 | 2,403 | 2,404 | 3,681 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,125.0 | 230.0 | 1,170.8 | 552.4 | 4,354.0 | 915.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 3.72 | 10.76 | 8.20 | 4.35 | 0.55 | 4.02 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.94 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 3.72 | 10.76 | 8.20 | 4.35 | 0.59 | 4.02 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | HKD | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.94 | 1.00 | |