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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 3.5x - 3.9x | 3.7x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 3.5x - 3.9x | 3.7x |
| Fair Value | ¥4.15 - ¥4.59 | ¥4.37 |
| Upside | -24.6% - -16.7% | -20.6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Co., Ltd. | 197,900.0% | SZSE:001979 |
| China Merchants Property Operation & Service Co., Ltd. | 191,400.0% | SZSE:001914 |
| China-Singapore Suzhou Industrial Park Development Group Co., Ltd. | 60,151,200.0% | SHSE:601512 |
| Shang Hai Ya Tong Co.,Ltd. | 60,069,200.0% | SHSE:600692 |
| Onewo Inc. | 260,200.0% | SEHK:2602 |
| Guangdong Shirongzhaoye Co., Ltd. | 201,600.0% | SZSE:002016 |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 1979 | 1914 | 601512 | 600692 | 2602 | 2016 | |||
| SZSE:001979 | SZSE:001914 | SHSE:601512 | SHSE:600692 | SEHK:2602 | SZSE:002016 | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 12.9% | 23.1% | -12.8% | -5.1% | 21.1% | -18.6% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 3.7% | 17.5% | -11.8% | -24.0% | 15.2% | -25.6% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -4.4% | 11.6% | -33.3% | -47.0% | 9.2% | -39.0% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 7.9% | 4.7% | 41.9% | 2.3% | 5.9% | 19.9% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 3.6% | 4.7% | 37.2% | 0.2% | 5.9% | 13.1% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 1.9% | 4.9% | 23.7% | 1.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 1.9% | 4.9% | 16.9% | -0.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 28.0x | 8.8x | 14.5x | 1226.4x | 2.3x | 62.5x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.4x | 0.7x | 4.4x | 4.0x | 0.6x | 4.9x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 23.6x | 14.7x | 26.1x | -565.0x | 18.8x | 141.0x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.4x | 0.7x | 4.4x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 2.1x | 2.8x | 4.8x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 3.5x | 3.7x | 3.9x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 917 | 917 | 917 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 3,245 | 3,416 | 3,586 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 809.1 | 809.1 | 809.1 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 4.01 | 4.22 | 4.43 | |||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 4.01 | 4.22 | 4.43 | 5.51 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -27.2% | -23.4% | -19.6% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 1979 | 1914 | 601512 | 600692 | 2602 | 2016 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 78,486 | 12,797 | 11,092 | 2,441 | 21,568 | 4,458 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 9,042.2 | 1,059.4 | 1,498.9 | 351.8 | 1,160.0 | 809.1 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 8.68 | 12.08 | 7.40 | 6.94 | 18.59 | 5.51 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.92 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 8.68 | 12.08 | 7.40 | 6.94 | 20.25 | 5.51 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | HKD | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.92 | 1.00 | |