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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Pb Multiple | 1.1x - 1.2x | 1.1x |
| Historical Pb Multiple | 1.0x - 1.5x | 1.0x |
| Fair Value | ¥4.58 - ¥5.06 | ¥4.82 |
| Upside | 11.8% - 23.5% | 17.6% |
| Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
| Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co., Ltd. | 60,181,600.0% | SHSE:601816 |
| China Railway Tielong Container Logistics Co., Ltd | 60,012,500.0% | SHSE:600125 |
| Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group Co., Ltd. | 235,700.0% | SZSE:002357 |
| Daqin Railway Co., Ltd. | 60,100,600.0% | SHSE:601006 |
| Guangshen Railway Company Limited | 60,133,300.0% | SHSE:601333 |
| China Railway Special Cargo Logistics Co., Ltd. | 121,300.0% | SZSE:001213 |
| Select Price / Book Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 601816 | 600125 | 2357 | 601006 | 601333 | 1213 | |||
| SHSE:601816 | SHSE:600125 | SZSE:002357 | SHSE:601006 | SHSE:601333 | SZSE:001213 | |||
| Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 2.4% | -1.5% | 32.0% | -3.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 52.9% | 5.5% | 24.7% | 3.5% | NM- | 21.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 54.5% | 1.9% | -45.1% | -18.1% | 0.2% | 17.4% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 15.9% | 2.7% | 11.9% | 17.0% | -1.9% | 5.1% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -3.0% | 2.8% | 8.1% | 14.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 28.4% | 3.2% | 17.4% | 14.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 30.0% | 2.9% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | ||
| Return on Equity | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 3.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.4% | -1.1% | 2.6% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -0.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | ||
| Next Fiscal Year | 6.5% | 7.1% | 20.1% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | ||
| Two Fiscal Years Forward | 6.9% | 7.8% | 22.3% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| Price / LTM Sales | 7.0x | 0.6x | 2.5x | 1.8x | 0.7x | 1.7x | ||
| Price / LTM EPS | 23.5x | 19.2x | 26.6x | 14.5x | 17.6x | 29.7x | ||
| Price / Book | 1.5x | 1.1x | 1.4x | 0.9x | 0.7x | 1.0x | ||
| Price / Fwd Book | 1.5x | 1.1x | 1.3x | 1.0x | 0.7x | 1.0x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark P/B Ratio | 0.7x | 1.1x | 1.5x | |||||
| Historical P/B Ratio | 1.0x | 1.0x | 1.5x | |||||
| Selected P/B Multiple | 1.1x | 1.1x | 1.2x | |||||
| (x) Book Value | 18,966 | 18,966 | 18,966 | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 601816 | 600125 | 2357 | 601006 | 601333 | 1213 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 292,675 | 8,042 | 2,226 | 134,583 | 20,401 | 18,222 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 49,106.5 | 1,305.5 | 313.5 | 20,147.2 | 7,083.5 | 4,444.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 5.96 | 6.16 | 7.10 | 6.68 | 2.88 | 4.10 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 5.96 | 6.16 | 7.10 | 6.68 | 2.88 | 4.10 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |