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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 6.2x - 6.8x | 6.5x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 7.1x - 7.9x | 7.5x |
| Fair Value | ¥2.19 - ¥2.40 | ¥2.30 |
| Upside | -26.8% - -19.6% | -23.2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Shenwu Energy Saving Co., Ltd. | 820 | SZSE:000820 |
| Riverine China Holdings Limited | 1417 | SEHK:1417 |
| Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology Co., Ltd. | 301049 | SZSE:301049 |
| Wuxi Delinhai Environmental Technology Co.,Ltd | 688069 | SHSE:688069 |
| Zhejiang Tuna Environmental Science & TechnologyCo.,Ltd. | 603177 | SHSE:603177 |
| Shenzhen Ecobeauty Co., Ltd. | 10 | SZSE:000010 |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 820 | 1417 | 301049 | 688069 | 603177 | 10 | |||
| SZSE:000820 | SEHK:1417 | SZSE:301049 | SHSE:688069 | SHSE:603177 | SZSE:000010 | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 64.9% | 18.6% | 2.1% | 8.6% | 1.3% | -2.6% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 355.5% | 6.4% | -5.0% | -3.0% | 23.4% | -40.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 39.7% | -2.3% | 23.9% | 44.5% | -0.9% | 37.4% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 592.0% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 15.1% | -4.7% | -60.2% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -8.0% | 3.1% | -14.5% | -17.8% | 4.3% | -76.8% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | -14.3% | -7.9% | -42.2% | -16.9% | -2.1% | -182.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -8.5% | -8.2% | -27.1% | -16.9% | 2.7% | -122.7% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 7.68x | 0.34x | 7.66x | 2.37x | 2.77x | 7.92x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | -90.3x | -4.1x | -28.3x | -14.0x | 102.1x | -6.5x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 7.15x | 0.08x | 7.00x | 3.61x | 1.95x | 8.33x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.34x | 2.77x | 7.68x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 1.96x | 2.47x | 12.13x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 6.16x | 6.48x | 6.81x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 411 | 411 | 411 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,532 | 2,666 | 2,799 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 171 | 171 | 171 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,703 | 2,836 | 2,969 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,149.7 | 1,149.7 | 1,149.7 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 2.35 | 2.47 | 2.58 | |||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 2.35 | 2.47 | 2.58 | 2.99 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -21.4% | -17.5% | -13.6% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 820 | 1417 | 301049 | 688069 | 603177 | 10 | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,957 | 307 | 2,333 | 1,066 | 2,354 | 3,267 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 3 | 100 | 30 | 570 | 144 | 10 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 129 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 335 | |
| (-) Debt | (88) | (379) | (217) | (11) | (816) | (190) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (50) | (79) | (17) | 0 | (30) | 16 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,822 | 78 | 2,130 | 1,625 | 1,674 | 3,437 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 641.7 | 405.0 | 94.3 | 109.2 | 206.2 | 1,149.7 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2.84 | 0.19 | 22.60 | 14.88 | 8.12 | 2.99 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 0.93 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.84 | 0.21 | 22.60 | 14.88 | 8.12 | 2.99 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | HKD | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 0.93 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |