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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Adjusted Dividend | CHF 0.81 - CHF 0.93 | CHF 0.88 |
Adjusted Dividend Yield | 6.2% - 7.2% | 6.8% |
Perpetuity Growth Rate | 2.8% - 3.3% | 3.0% |
Discount Rate | 10.4% - 8.4% | 9.4% |
Fair Value | CHF 10.86 - CHF 18.78 | CHF 14.25 |
Upside | -16.3% - 44.7% | 9.8% |
Calculate Adjusted Dividend | ||||||||
(CHF in millions) | Latest | Notes | ||||||
Net Income To Common | 302 | |||||||
(-) Cash Dividends Paid | (185) | |||||||
(=) Cash Retained | 117 | 38.7% | ||||||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% | % of net income needed for future growth | ||||
Adj Net Income | 302 | 302 | 302 | |||||
(=) Cash Required | 60 | 38 | 23 | |||||
Cash Retained | 117 | 117 | 117 | |||||
(-) Cash Required | (60) | (38) | (23) | |||||
(=) Excess Retained | 56 | 79 | 94 | |||||
(/) FX Rate Adjustment | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||||
(=) Excess Retained (CHF) | 56 | 79 | 94 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 299.4 | 299.4 | 299.4 | |||||
(=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.19 | 0.26 | 0.31 | |||||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
LTM Dividend per Share | 0.62 | 0.62 | 0.62 | |||||
(+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.19 | 0.26 | 0.31 | |||||
Adjusted Dividend | 0.81 | 0.88 | 0.93 |
Sensitivity Analysis | ||||||||
Adjusted Dividend | 0.88 | |||||||
Cost of Equity | ||||||||
Growth Rate | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | |||
1.0% | 12.08 | 11.31 | 10.63 | 10.03 | 9.50 | |||
2.0% | 14.11 | 13.08 | 12.20 | 11.42 | 10.74 | |||
3.0% | 16.90 | 15.46 | 14.25 | 13.21 | 12.31 | |||
4.0% | 20.96 | 18.81 | 17.06 | 15.61 | 14.39 | |||
5.0% | 27.43 | 23.89 | 21.16 | 18.99 | 17.23 |