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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 1.1x - 1.2x | 1.1x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 1.0x - 1.1x | 1.0x |
| Fair Value | ¥5.90 - ¥6.52 | ¥6.21 |
| Upside | -21.6% - -13.3% | -17.5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group Corp.,Ltd. | 60,041,800.0% | SHSE:600418 |
| Beiqi Foton Motor Co.,Ltd. | 60,016,600.0% | SHSE:600166 |
| Mercedes-Benz Group AG | - | OTCPK:MBGA.F |
| Isuzu Motors Limited | 720,200.0% | TSE:7202 |
| BAIC Motor Corporation Limited | 195,800.0% | SEHK:1958 |
| DongFeng Automobile Co. LTD | 60,000,600.0% | SHSE:600006 |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 600418 | 600166 | MBGA.F | 7202 | 1958 | 600006 | |||
| SHSE:600418 | SHSE:600166 | OTCPK:MBGA.F | TSE:7202 | SEHK:1958 | SHSE:600006 | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -2.1% | 6.4% | -3.4% | 9.5% | 1.9% | -3.5% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 1.6% | -1.0% | 2.8% | 21.1% | 3.0% | -4.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -6.3% | -9.2% | -4.5% | -5.7% | -2.8% | -11.1% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -1.0% | -1.6% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 2.5% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -4.3% | 0.1% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 0.3% | 1.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 0.5% | 1.7% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 1.4% | 1.1% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -298.0x | 14.9x | 7.8x | 4.3x | 0.5x | -14.7x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 1.8x | 0.4x | 0.3x | 0.4x | 0.1x | 1.4x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | -43.4x | 36.4x | 4.9x | 10.0x | 15.7x | 312.7x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.1x | 0.4x | 1.8x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.6x | 0.9x | 1.4x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 1.1x | 1.1x | 1.2x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 10,881 | 10,881 | 10,881 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 11,557 | 12,165 | 12,773 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,000.0 | 2,000.0 | 2,000.0 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 5.78 | 6.08 | 6.39 | |||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 5.78 | 6.08 | 6.39 | 7.52 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -23.2% | -19.1% | -15.1% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 600418 | 600166 | MBGA.F | 7202 | 1958 | 600006 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 77,467 | 20,110 | 49,494 | 1,273,608 | 15,001 | 15,040 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,184.0 | 7,917.4 | 962.1 | 716.3 | 8,015.3 | 2,000.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 35.47 | 2.54 | 51.44 | 1,778.00 | 1.87 | 7.52 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.91 | 1.00 | 0.94 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 35.47 | 2.54 | 56.71 | 1,778.00 | 2.00 | 7.52 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | USD | JPY | HKD | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.91 | 1.00 | 0.94 | 1.00 | |