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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | -3.5x - -3.9x | -3.7x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | -2.6x - -2.9x | -2.8x |
Fair Value | ฿0.36 - ฿0.39 | ฿0.37 |
Upside | 18.7% - 31.2% | 25.0% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Bangchak Sriracha Public Company Limited | - | SET:BSRC |
Susco Public Company Limited | - | SET:SUSCO |
Bangchak Corporation Public Company Limited | - | SET:BCP |
Thai Oil Public Company Limited | - | SET:TOP |
Star Petroleum Refining Public Company Limited | - | SET:SPRC |
RPCG Public Company Limited | - | SET:RPC |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
BSRC | SUSCO | BCP | TOP | SPRC | RPC | |||
SET:BSRC | SET:SUSCO | SET:BCP | SET:TOP | SET:SPRC | SET:RPC | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | -5.6% | 1.8% | 8.3% | NM- | NM- | ||
3Y CAGR | NM- | 7.7% | -37.0% | -7.6% | -22.2% | NM- | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -208.4% | -73.9% | -87.2% | -63.4% | -166.6% | -454.6% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 0.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 4.0% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 0.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | -0.5% | 0.3% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | -0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | -0.8% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.9% | -0.4% | -1.2% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | -61.9x | 5.5x | 5.5x | 10.6x | 22.2x | 37.1x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.1x | 0.1x | 0.1x | 0.2x | 0.1x | 0.0x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | -7.2x | 7.9x | 29.3x | 9.6x | -23.5x | -3.7x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -23.5x | 7.9x | 29.3x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -13.0x | 2.3x | 243.8x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | -3.5x | -3.7x | -3.9x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | (107) | (107) | (107) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 372 | 391 | 411 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,304.7 | 1,304.7 | 1,304.7 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 0.28 | 0.30 | 0.31 | |||||
FX Rate: THB/THB | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.28 | 0.30 | 0.31 | 0.30 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -5.0% | 0.0% | 5.0% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | BSRC | SUSCO | BCP | TOP | SPRC | RPC | |
Value of Common Equity | 16,958 | 2,432 | 46,471 | 72,600 | 23,414 | 391 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 3,460.9 | 950.0 | 1,376.9 | 2,233.8 | 4,335.9 | 1,304.7 | |
Implied Stock Price | 4.90 | 2.56 | 33.75 | 32.50 | 5.40 | 0.30 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 4.90 | 2.56 | 33.75 | 32.50 | 5.40 | 0.30 | |
Trading Currency | THB | THB | THB | THB | THB | THB | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |