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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 3.2x - 3.5x | 3.4x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 2.7x - 3.0x | 2.8x |
Fair Value | HK$ 0.27 - HK$ 0.28 | HK$ 0.27 |
Upside | 54.4% - 60.9% | 57.7% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Boston Scientific Corporation | BSX | NYSE:BSX |
Shenzhen YHLO Biotech Co., Ltd. | 688575 | SHSE:688575 |
Qingdao Haier Biomedical Co.,Ltd | 688139 | SHSE:688139 |
LifeTech Scientific Corporation | 1302 | SEHK:1302 |
Angelalign Technology Inc. | 6699 | SEHK:6699 |
Rainmed Medical Limited | 2297 | SEHK:2297 |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
BSX | 688575 | 688139 | 1302 | 6699 | 2297 | |||
NYSE:BSX | SHSE:688575 | SHSE:688139 | SEHK:1302 | SEHK:6699 | SEHK:2297 | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 9.3% | 17.8% | 17.7% | 17.9% | 23.7% | NM- | ||
3Y CAGR | 12.1% | 19.1% | 2.4% | 25.4% | 10.3% | -21.1% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 17.6% | -3.0% | 0.1% | 2.9% | -81.8% | -45.6% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 15.4% | 20.5% | 18.8% | 26.7% | 12.5% | -190.5% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 17.0% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 25.9% | -1.0% | -179.7% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 17.9% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 16.0% | -0.1% | -249.9% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 17.9% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 16.0% | -0.1% | -249.9% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 9.45x | 4.84x | 4.10x | 4.20x | 2.71x | 0.51x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | 52.7x | 31.4x | 23.3x | 26.3x | -1810.9x | -0.2x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 8.79x | 4.74x | 4.80x | 5.44x | 4.47x | 4.93x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 2.71x | 4.20x | 9.45x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.51x | 0.55x | 12.58x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 3.19x | 3.36x | 3.53x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 40 | 40 | 40 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 127 | 134 | 141 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 177 | 177 | 177 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 304 | 311 | 318 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,167.8 | 1,167.8 | 1,167.8 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 0.26 | 0.27 | 0.27 | |||||
FX Rate: CNY/HKD | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.29 | 0.17 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 59.9% | 63.4% | 66.9% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | BSX | 688575 | 688139 | 1302 | 6699 | 2297 | |
Enterprise Value | 158,473 | 9,683 | 9,044 | 5,276 | 740 | 13 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 414 | 578 | 1,850 | 1,182 | 437 | 206 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 555 | 0 | 0 | 422 | 58 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (11,228) | (846) | (28) | (5) | (14) | (26) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (233) | 0 | 0 | 19 | (6) | (3) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 147,981 | 9,415 | 10,866 | 6,894 | 1,214 | 190 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,479.1 | 570.3 | 315.7 | 4,630.6 | 170.0 | 1,167.8 | |
Implied Stock Price | 100.05 | 16.51 | 34.42 | 1.49 | 7.14 | 0.16 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.94 | 0.13 | 0.94 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 100.05 | 16.51 | 34.42 | 1.59 | 55.55 | 0.17 | |
Trading Currency | USD | CNY | CNY | HKD | HKD | HKD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.94 | 0.13 | 0.94 |