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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | -3.2x - -3.6x | -3.4x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | -1.6x - -1.8x | -1.7x |
Fair Value | HK$ 3.57 - HK$ 3.95 | HK$ 3.76 |
Upside | -4.3% - 5.8% | 0.7% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Modern Avenue Group Co., Ltd. | 265,600.0% | SZSE:002656 |
Sino Gas Holdings Group Limited | 175,900.0% | SEHK:1759 |
Centenary United Holdings Limited | 195,900.0% | SEHK:1959 |
XXF Group Holdings Limited | 247,300.0% | SEHK:2473 |
Sunfonda Group Holdings Limited | 177,100.0% | SEHK:1771 |
China Qidian Guofeng Holdings Limited | 128,000.0% | SEHK:1280 |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
2656 | 1759 | 1959 | 2473 | 1771 | 1280 | |||
SZSE:002656 | SEHK:1759 | SEHK:1959 | SEHK:2473 | SEHK:1771 | SEHK:1280 | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | ||
3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | 5.4% | NM- | NM- | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 66.8% | -240.6% | -71.4% | -63.7% | -1895.3% | -4077.7% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -44.2% | 0.5% | -1.3% | 7.1% | 0.8% | -58.0% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | -18.0% | 0.6% | -3.2% | 10.9% | 0.1% | 17.5% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | -30.8% | -0.8% | -7.2% | 3.4% | -2.5% | -502.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -20.1% | -0.8% | -7.2% | 3.4% | -2.5% | -502.7% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 71.8x | -57.1x | -4.2x | 34.5x | 34.9x | -249.4x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 6.6x | 0.1x | 0.1x | 7.9x | 0.0x | 14.3x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | -33.1x | -12.3x | -1.8x | 230.3x | -0.7x | -2.8x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -33.1x | -1.8x | 230.3x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -2.8x | -2.2x | 22.6x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | -3.2x | -3.4x | -3.6x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | (2,222) | (2,222) | (2,222) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 7,145 | 7,522 | 7,898 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,805.7 | 1,805.7 | 1,805.7 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 3.96 | 4.17 | 4.37 | |||||
FX Rate: CNY/HKD | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 4.23 | 4.45 | 4.67 | 3.73 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 13.3% | 19.2% | 25.2% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 2656 | 1759 | 1959 | 2473 | 1771 | 1280 | |
Value of Common Equity | 1,553 | 152 | 163 | 9,199 | 157 | 6,308 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 712.5 | 216.0 | 505.2 | 1,546.9 | 600.0 | 1,805.7 | |
Implied Stock Price | 2.18 | 0.70 | 0.32 | 5.95 | 0.26 | 3.49 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 0.94 | 0.94 | 0.94 | 0.94 | 0.94 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.18 | 0.75 | 0.35 | 6.35 | 0.28 | 3.73 | |
Trading Currency | CNY | HKD | HKD | HKD | HKD | HKD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 0.94 | 0.94 | 0.94 | 0.94 | 0.94 |