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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 22.9x - 25.4x | 24.1x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 15.5x - 17.1x | 16.3x |
Fair Value | ﷼16.26 - ﷼18 | ﷼17.13 |
Upside | -8.2% - 1.7% | -3.2% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
National Medical Care Company | 4005 | SASE:4005 |
Naba Al Saha Medical Services Company | 9546 | SASE:9546 |
Al Hammadi Holding Company | 4007 | SASE:4007 |
Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group Company | 4013 | SASE:4013 |
Saudi Chemical Holding Company | 2230 | SASE:2230 |
Twareat Medical Care Company | 9627 | SASE:9627 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
4005 | 9546 | 4007 | 4013 | 2230 | 9627 | ||
SASE:4005 | SASE:9546 | SASE:4007 | SASE:4013 | SASE:2230 | SASE:9627 | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 14.9% | NM- | 10.5% | 20.3% | 24.9% | NM- | |
3Y CAGR | 13.7% | 1.9% | 19.5% | 16.2% | 38.0% | NM- | |
Latest Twelve Months | 16.5% | -33.3% | -3.4% | 21.8% | 2.6% | 57.4% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 25.0% | 26.0% | 31.2% | 24.0% | 6.5% | 14.7% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 26.9% | 28.3% | 36.7% | 24.8% | 7.3% | 11.7% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 24.4% | 17.7% | 34.0% | 24.2% | 7.6% | 14.9% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 25.1% | 17.7% | 31.4% | 23.8% | 7.4% | 14.9% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 5.14x | 3.54x | 4.40x | 7.43x | 1.15x | 3.75x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 20.5x | 20.0x | 14.0x | 31.2x | 15.6x | 25.2x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 25.4x | 27.2x | 18.0x | 37.3x | 17.5x | 28.5x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 14.0x | 20.0x | 31.2x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 25.2x | 25.2x | 25.2x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 22.9x | 24.1x | 25.4x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 29 | 29 | 29 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 655 | 689 | 724 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (11) | (11) | (11) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 643 | 678 | 712 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 40.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 16.09 | 16.95 | 17.81 | ||||
FX Rate: SAR/SAR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 16.09 | 16.95 | 17.81 | 17.70 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -9.1% | -4.2% | 0.6% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 4005 | 9546 | 4007 | 4013 | 2230 | 9627 | |
Enterprise Value | 7,610 | 685 | 5,338 | 93,474 | 7,494 | 719 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 477 | 43 | 194 | 2,185 | 143 | 2 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 2 | 147 | 473 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (454) | (89) | (287) | (9,034) | (1,722) | (13) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | (472) | (13) | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 7,633 | 641 | 5,392 | 86,625 | 5,902 | 708 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 44.7 | 10.5 | 160.0 | 350.0 | 843.2 | 40.0 | |
Implied Stock Price | 170.80 | 61.00 | 33.70 | 247.50 | 7.00 | 17.70 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 170.80 | 61.00 | 33.70 | 247.50 | 7.00 | 17.70 | |
Trading Currency | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |