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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 17.0x - 18.8x | 17.9x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 9.9x - 11.0x | 10.5x |
| Fair Value | ﷼7.28 - ﷼8.05 | ﷼7.67 |
| Upside | -6.4% - 3.5% | -1.5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Batic Investments and Logistics Company | 4110 | SASE:4110 |
| Astra Industrial Group Company | 1212 | SASE:1212 |
| Harel Mallac & Co. Ltd | HML.N0000 | MUSE:HML.N0000 |
| Saudi Parts Center Company | 9533 | SASE:9533 |
| Mekdam Holding Group - Q.P.S.C. | MKDM | DSM:MKDM |
| Waja Company | 9560 | SASE:9560 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 4110 | 1212 | HML.N0000 | 9533 | MKDM | 9560 | ||
| SASE:4110 | SASE:1212 | MUSE:HML.N0000 | SASE:9533 | DSM:MKDM | SASE:9560 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 11.6% | 20.5% | NM- | NM- | 10.2% | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | 23.5% | 18.2% | NM- | -5.8% | 14.8% | 14.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 47.4% | 18.9% | -105.0% | -28.3% | 0.2% | 58.7% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 8.9% | 19.0% | 2.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 21.0% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 10.7% | 21.9% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 21.2% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 15.8% | 24.0% | -0.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 20.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 15.8% | 24.0% | -0.4% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 15.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 3.54x | 3.40x | 0.11x | 1.62x | 0.86x | 2.88x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 22.5x | 14.2x | -32.6x | 26.8x | 9.7x | 18.2x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 77.4x | 15.8x | -5.2x | 31.1x | 10.7x | 18.7x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -32.6x | 14.2x | 26.8x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 17.9x | 17.9x | 17.9x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 17.0x | 17.9x | 18.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 30 | 30 | 30 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 514 | 541 | 568 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (6) | (6) | (6) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 508 | 535 | 562 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 70.0 | 70.0 | 70.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 7.26 | 7.64 | 8.03 | ||||
| FX Rate: SAR/SAR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 7.26 | 7.64 | 8.03 | 7.78 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -6.7% | -1.8% | 3.2% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 4110 | 1212 | HML.N0000 | 9533 | MKDM | 9560 | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,665 | 10,183 | 434 | 186 | 479 | 551 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 144 | 846 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 12 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 2 | 647 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| (-) Debt | (332) | (516) | 0 | (13) | (55) | (25) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (9) | (7) | (144) | 0 | (0) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,470 | 11,152 | 289 | 179 | 454 | 545 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 600.0 | 80.0 | 11.3 | 3.0 | 160.0 | 70.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2.45 | 139.40 | 25.70 | 59.70 | 2.84 | 7.78 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.45 | 139.40 | 25.70 | 59.70 | 2.84 | 7.78 | |
| Trading Currency | SAR | SAR | MUR | SAR | QAR | SAR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |