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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Discount Rate | 8.8% - 7.8% | 8.3% |
| Terminal Revenue Multiple | 8.9x - 9.8x | 9.3x |
| Fair Value | ﷼7.95 - ﷼10.05 | ﷼8.98 |
| Upside | -47.0% - -33.0% | -40.1% |
| Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
| (SAR in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
| Fiscal Years Ending | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 |
| Revenue | 159 | 278 | 431 | 582 | 698 | 785 |
| % Growth | 137.5% | 75.0% | 55.0% | 35.0% | 20.0% | 12.5% |
| EBITDA | -12 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| % of Revenue | -7.6% | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
| Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
| (SAR in millions) | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | |
| EBITDA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
| Other Income / (Exp) | #NUM! | #NUM! | #NUM! | #NUM! | #NUM! | |
| D&A | (7) | (11) | (14) | (17) | (19) | |
| EBIT | #NUM! | #NUM! | #NUM! | #NUM! | #NUM! | |
| Pro forma Taxes | #NUM! | #NUM! | #NUM! | #NUM! | #NUM! | |
| NOPAT | (10) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Capital Expenditures | (3) | (6) | (9) | (12) | (15) | (16) |
| NWC Investment | (127) | (164) | (211) | (208) | (161) | (120) |
| (+) D&A | 3 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 19 |
| Free Cash Flow | (138) | (163) | (209) | (206) | (158) | (117) |
| % Growth | NM | NM | NM | NM | NM | |