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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 15.6x - 17.2x | 16.4x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 7.1x - 7.9x | 7.5x |
| Fair Value | ﷼21.44 - ﷼23.70 | ﷼22.57 |
| Upside | -35.9% - -29.1% | -32.5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Makkah Construction and Development Company | 410,000.0% | SASE:4100 |
| Enma Al Rawabi Company | 952,100.0% | SASE:9521 |
| View United Real Estate Development Co. | 959,100.0% | SASE:9591 |
| Emaar The Economic City | 422,000.0% | SASE:4220 |
| Knowledge Economic City Company | 431,000.0% | SASE:4310 |
| Arriyadh Development Co. | 415,000.0% | SASE:4150 |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 4100 | 9521 | 9591 | 4220 | 4310 | 4150 | |||
| SASE:4100 | SASE:9521 | SASE:9591 | SASE:4220 | SASE:4310 | SASE:4150 | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 11.9% | 7.4% | NM- | -14.8% | 0.9% | 5.2% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 13.2% | NM- | 4.6% | 55.2% | 8.6% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 14.2% | 164.2% | -13.6% | -41.5% | 259.1% | -10.2% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 5.0% | 58.6% | 21.9% | -207.3% | -56.5% | 99.6% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 45.7% | 66.2% | 19.4% | -24.6% | -68.1% | 80.1% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 49.2% | 68.3% | 20.1% | -266.3% | -13.2% | 92.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 50.5% | 53.3% | 23.4% | -163.2% | -13.2% | 85.7% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 37.0x | 15.3x | 12.8x | -356.2x | -501.5x | 41.9x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 23.4x | 8.2x | 2.9x | 12.5x | 30.1x | 25.1x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 46.4x | 15.4x | 12.3x | -7.7x | -228.0x | 29.3x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 2.9x | 12.5x | 30.1x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 12.8x | 13.1x | 17.9x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 15.6x | 16.4x | 17.2x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 313 | 313 | 313 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 4,871 | 5,127 | 5,383 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 233.9 | 233.9 | 233.9 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 20.82 | 21.92 | 23.01 | |||||
| FX Rate: SAR/SAR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 20.82 | 21.92 | 23.01 | 33.45 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -37.8% | -34.5% | -31.2% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 4100 | 9521 | 9591 | 4220 | 4310 | 4150 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 21,160 | 999 | 230 | 6,938 | 4,804 | 7,825 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 200.0 | 40.0 | 33.0 | 523.3 | 339.3 | 233.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 105.80 | 24.98 | 6.98 | 13.26 | 14.16 | 33.45 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 105.80 | 24.98 | 6.98 | 13.26 | 14.16 | 33.45 | |
| Trading Currency | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |