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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 17.4x - 19.3x | 18.3x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 17.6x - 19.5x | 18.5x |
| Fair Value | ﷼17.92 - ﷼22.73 | ﷼20.33 |
| Upside | 4.4% - 32.5% | 18.5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets Company | 4001 | SASE:4001 |
| BinDawood Holding Company | 4161 | SASE:4161 |
| Anaam International Holding Group Company | 4061 | SASE:4061 |
| Carrefour SA | CAFR31 | BOVESPA:CAFR31 |
| Thimar Development Holding Company | 4160 | SASE:4160 |
| Saudi Marketing Company | 4006 | SASE:4006 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 4001 | 4161 | 4061 | CAFR31 | 4160 | 4006 | ||
| SASE:4001 | SASE:4161 | SASE:4061 | BOVESPA:CAFR31 | SASE:4160 | SASE:4006 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 1.6% | -6.5% | NM- | 1.0% | NM- | 11.3% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 7.5% | 10.5% | NM- | 0.0% | NM- | 19.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -5.9% | 5.6% | -261.0% | -2.1% | 12.4% | 44.6% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 4.5% | 6.6% | -88.1% | 2.9% | -7288.1% | 4.6% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 4.2% | 6.3% | 16.7% | 2.6% | NA | 4.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 4.0% | 6.5% | -20.4% | 2.5% | -906.0% | 5.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 3.8% | 6.5% | -32.5% | 2.5% | -912.4% | 6.7% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.82x | 1.56x | 15.72x | 0.27x | 129.93x | 1.10x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 14.3x | 16.4x | -66.7x | 6.4x | -14.8x | 10.8x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 21.7x | 24.1x | -48.3x | 10.6x | -14.2x | 16.5x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -48.3x | 10.6x | 24.1x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 22.5x | 24.2x | 52.1x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 17.4x | 18.3x | 19.3x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 122 | 122 | 122 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,127 | 2,239 | 2,350 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,253) | (1,253) | (1,253) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 873 | 985 | 1,097 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 45.0 | 45.0 | 45.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 19.41 | 21.89 | 24.38 | ||||
| FX Rate: SAR/SAR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 19.41 | 21.89 | 24.38 | 17.16 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 13.1% | 27.6% | 42.1% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 4001 | 4161 | 4061 | CAFR31 | 4160 | 4006 | |
| Enterprise Value | 8,932 | 9,145 | 646 | 23,534 | 232 | 2,026 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 267 | 496 | 12 | 6,745 | 28 | 57 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 329 | 37 | 5 | 1,604 | 0 | 1 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,445) | (2,735) | (159) | (21,533) | (15) | (1,311) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (45) | (74) | (2) | (1,665) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 7,038 | 6,869 | 502 | 8,685 | 244 | 772 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 900.0 | 1,141.0 | 31.5 | 704.1 | 6.5 | 45.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 7.82 | 6.02 | 15.94 | 12.33 | 37.60 | 17.16 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.16 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 7.82 | 6.02 | 15.94 | 79.00 | 37.60 | 17.16 | |
| Trading Currency | SAR | SAR | SAR | BRL | SAR | SAR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.16 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |