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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 1.0x - 1.1x | 1.1x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 1.1x - 1.2x | 1.1x |
| Fair Value | ﷼10.55 - ﷼11.94 | ﷼11.24 |
| Upside | 14.2% - 29.2% | 21.7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Saudi Marketing Company | 4006 | SASE:4006 |
| BinDawood Holding Company | 4161 | SASE:4161 |
| Carrefour SA | CRER.F | OTCPK:CRER.F |
| Anaam International Holding Group Company | 4061 | SASE:4061 |
| Thimar Development Holding Company | 4160 | SASE:4160 |
| Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets Company | 4001 | SASE:4001 |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 4006 | 4161 | CRER.F | 4061 | 4160 | 4001 | |||
| SASE:4006 | SASE:4161 | OTCPK:CRER.F | SASE:4061 | SASE:4160 | SASE:4001 | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | NM- | 5.6% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 3.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 84.1% | NM- | 8.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.8% | -14.2% | NM | 5.0% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 3.9% | 6.7% | 2.9% | -93.9% | -7133.8% | 4.7% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 4.1% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 16.9% | NA | 4.4% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 2.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% | -20.4% | NA | 4.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 2.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% | -20.4% | -33990.9% | 4.2% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.15x | 1.50x | 0.27x | 14.49x | 3157.47x | 1.01x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 48.7x | 28.4x | 10.7x | -70.9x | -9.3x | 23.7x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.48x | 1.17x | 0.10x | 11.29x | 3444.10x | 0.78x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.27x | 1.50x | 3157.47x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 1.01x | 1.31x | 1.35x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 1.03x | 1.08x | 1.13x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 10,716 | 10,716 | 10,716 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 11,000 | 11,579 | 12,158 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (2,405) | (2,405) | (2,405) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 8,594 | 9,173 | 9,752 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 900.0 | 900.0 | 900.0 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 9.55 | 10.19 | 10.84 | |||||
| FX Rate: SAR/SAR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 9.55 | 10.19 | 10.84 | 9.24 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 3.3% | 10.3% | 17.3% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 4006 | 4161 | CRER.F | 4061 | 4160 | 4001 | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,076 | 8,392 | 23,783 | 626 | 228 | 10,721 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 37 | 511 | 6,745 | 13 | 37 | 111 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 1,604 | 7 | 0 | 307 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,262) | (2,285) | (21,533) | (158) | (16) | (2,782) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (1,665) | (2) | 0 | (42) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 851 | 6,618 | 8,934 | 486 | 248 | 8,316 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 45.0 | 1,141.0 | 645.8 | 31.5 | 6.5 | 900.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 18.90 | 5.80 | 13.84 | 15.42 | 38.20 | 9.24 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.91 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 18.90 | 5.80 | 15.16 | 15.42 | 38.20 | 9.24 | |
| Trading Currency | SAR | SAR | USD | SAR | SAR | SAR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.91 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |