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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 47.2x - 52.2x | 49.7x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 28.1x - 31.0x | 29.6x |
Fair Value | ﷼19.17 - ﷼21.18 | ﷼20.17 |
Upside | -6.9% - 2.9% | -2.0% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry | 132,100.0% | SASE:1321 |
Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company | 132,200.0% | SASE:1322 |
Arabian Pipes Company | 220,000.0% | SASE:2200 |
Group Five Pipe Saudi Company | 952,300.0% | SASE:9523 |
Watani Iron Steel Company | 951,300.0% | SASE:9513 |
United Wire Factories Company | 130,100.0% | SASE:1301 |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
1321 | 1322 | 2200 | 9523 | 9513 | 1301 | |||
SASE:1321 | SASE:1322 | SASE:2200 | SASE:9523 | SASE:9513 | SASE:1301 | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 10.0% | NM- | 40.9% | -0.6% | -19.6% | -6.0% | ||
3Y CAGR | NM- | -3.4% | NM- | 3.1% | -40.6% | -29.4% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 42.8% | 491.6% | -12.5% | 310.9% | 132.5% | -56.6% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 10.9% | 21.3% | -7.6% | 1.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 17.3% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.6% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 20.8% | 22.8% | 14.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 20.8% | 25.2% | 14.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.8x | 11.1x | 5.2x | 13.2x | 11.6x | 22.9x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 1.8x | 6.0x | 1.0x | 0.7x | 0.7x | 0.8x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 8.8x | 23.7x | 7.1x | 18.2x | 37.6x | 60.6x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | 7.1x | 18.2x | 37.6x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | 15.8x | 24.4x | 36.0x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | 47.2x | 49.7x | 52.2x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | 10 | 10 | 10 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 451 | 475 | 498 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 28.1 | 28.1 | 28.1 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 16.05 | 16.90 | 17.74 | |||||
FX Rate: SAR/SAR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 16.05 | 16.90 | 17.74 | 20.58 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -22.0% | -17.9% | -13.8% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 1321 | 1322 | 2200 | 9523 | 9513 | 1301 | |
Value of Common Equity | 3,371 | 5,171 | 1,092 | 700 | 371 | 578 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 31.5 | 89.9 | 200.0 | 28.0 | 181.7 | 28.1 | |
Implied Stock Price | 107.00 | 57.50 | 5.46 | 25.00 | 2.04 | 20.58 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 107.00 | 57.50 | 5.46 | 25.00 | 2.04 | 20.58 | |
Trading Currency | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |