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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 1.8x - 2.0x | 1.9x |
Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 2.0x - 2.3x | 2.1x |
Fair Value | ₱26.50 - ₱29.29 | ₱27.90 |
Upside | -18.8% - -10.3% | -14.6% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Coal Asia Holdings Incorporated | - | PSE:COAL |
Petron Corporation | - | PSE:PCOR |
Basic Energy Corporation | - | PSE:BSC |
Shell Pilipinas Corporation | - | PSE:SHLPH |
PXP Energy Corporation | - | PSE:PXP |
Semirara Mining and Power Corporation | - | PSE:SCC |
Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
COAL | PCOR | BSC | SHLPH | PXP | SCC | |||
PSE:COAL | PSE:PCOR | PSE:BSC | PSE:SHLPH | PSE:PXP | PSE:SCC | |||
Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | 11.0% | 489.7% | 2.2% | -1.6% | 8.1% | ||
3Y CAGR | NM- | 25.6% | 133.9% | 11.2% | 1.4% | 7.5% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | NM | 8.4% | -25.2% | -3.8% | -14.7% | -15.3% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | NA | 0.2% | -2168.0% | -0.8% | -1049.4% | 30.7% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | NA | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | -154.1% | 36.3% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | NA | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | -46.1% | 30.1% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | NA | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | -61.6% | 27.6% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | -129.3x | 6.4x | 61.9x | 7.2x | -166.7x | 4.9x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | NA | 0.0x | 0.0x | 0.0x | 88.0x | 2.2x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | -0.6x | 7.7x | -89.8x | 6.5x | -142.8x | 8.0x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.0x | 0.0x | 88.0x | |||||
Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 1.7x | 2.0x | 2.1x | |||||
Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 1.8x | 1.9x | 2.0x | |||||
(x) LTM Sales | 63,277 | 63,277 | 63,277 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 114,435 | 120,457 | 126,480 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 4,250.5 | 4,250.5 | 4,250.5 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 26.92 | 28.34 | 29.76 | |||||
FX Rate: PHP/PHP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 26.92 | 28.34 | 29.76 | 32.65 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -17.5% | -13.2% | -8.9% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | COAL | PCOR | BSC | SHLPH | PXP | SCC | |
Value of Common Equity | 568 | 21,487 | 1,787 | 8,116 | 5,378 | 138,780 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 4,000.0 | 8,915.9 | 14,650.6 | 1,613.4 | 2,390.2 | 4,250.5 | |
Implied Stock Price | 0.14 | 2.41 | 0.12 | 5.03 | 2.25 | 32.65 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.14 | 2.41 | 0.12 | 5.03 | 2.25 | 32.65 | |
Trading Currency | PHP | PHP | PHP | PHP | PHP | PHP | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |