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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Perpetuity Growth Rate | 0.8% - 1.3% | 1.0% |
Discount Rate | 10.6% - 9.6% | 10.1% |
Fair Value | ₱3.13 - ₱3.63 | ₱3.36 |
Upside | -0.3% - 15.5% | 6.9% |
Project Adjusted Dividends | ||||||||
Fiscal Year Ending | ||||||||
(PHP in millions) | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Terminal | |
Net Income to Common | 1,635 | 1,382 | 1,554 | 1,608 | 1,640 | 1,673 | 1,673 | |
% Growth | -6.3% | -15.5% | 12.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | ||
Payout Ratio | 75.7% | 79.0% | 82.0% | 85.0% | 88.0% | 90.0% | 92.5% | |
Projected Dividends | 1,238 | 1,238 | 1,274 | 1,367 | 1,444 | 1,506 | 1,548 | |
% Growth | 0.0% | 2.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% |
Historical Performance | ||||||||
Fiscal Year Ending | YTD | YTD | ||||||
(PHP in millions) | Dec-20 | Dec-21 | Dec-22 | Dec-23 | Dec-24 | Dec-23 | Dec-24 | |
Cash Dividends Paid | 348 | 1,096 | 1,977 | 1,390 | 1,238 | 1,390 | 1,238 | |
% Growth | 215% | 80% | -30% | -11% | -11% | |||
Net Income to Common | 1,861 | 11,955 | (661) | 1,745 | 1,635 | 1,745 | 1,635 | |
% Growth | 542% | NM | NM | -6% | -6% | |||
Payout Ratio | 19% | 9% | -299% | 80% | 76% | 80% | 76% | |
Retention Ratio | 81% | 91% | 399% | 20% | 24% | 20% | 24% | |
Adjusted EBITDA | 2,752 | 2,665 | 2,305 | 2,136 | NA | 2,136 | NA | |
% Growth | -3% | -13% | -7% | NA | NA | |||
Total Debt | 10,508 | 6,015 | 6,028 | 6,014 | 5,984 | 6,014 | 5,984 | |
Shareholder's Equity | 5,106 | 43,641 | 41,003 | 41,359 | 41,755 | 41,359 | 41,755 | |
Debt / EBITDA | 3.8 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 2.8 | NM | NM | ||
Debt / Equity | 206% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 15% | 14% | |
3-Yr Avg. Dividend Growth | 13.2% | |||||||
5-Yr Median Payout Ratio | 18.7% |