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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 4.1x - 4.6x | 4.4x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 4.4x - 4.8x | 4.6x |
Fair Value | ₱9.17 - ₱10.13 | ₱9.65 |
Upside | 50.8% - 66.7% | 58.7% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
San Miguel Corporation | - | PSE:SMC |
LT Group, Inc. | - | PSE:LTG |
Ayala Corporation | - | PSE:AC |
GT Capital Holdings, Inc. | - | PSE:GTCAP |
SM Investments Corporation | - | PSE:SM |
Alliance Global Group, Inc. | - | PSE:AGI |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
SMC | LTG | AC | GTCAP | SM | AGI | |||
PSE:SMC | PSE:LTG | PSE:AC | PSE:GTCAP | PSE:SM | PSE:AGI | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | 4.7% | -9.0% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 5.4% | ||
3Y CAGR | NM- | 12.7% | 12.4% | 39.8% | 26.9% | 30.5% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -14.0% | 13.8% | 10.5% | -1.8% | 7.3% | 14.8% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 3.4% | 27.5% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 13.8% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | -1.3% | 22.0% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 9.0% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | -0.4% | 22.4% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 9.6% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -0.3% | 22.4% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 9.1% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.8x | -3.2x | 8.5x | 4.3x | 6.6x | 6.5x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.1x | 1.0x | 1.0x | 0.3x | 1.5x | 0.3x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | -48.0x | 4.4x | 8.9x | 3.8x | 11.6x | 2.7x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -48.0x | 4.4x | 11.6x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | 5.9x | 7.2x | 9.6x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | 4.1x | 4.4x | 4.6x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | 19,656 | 19,656 | 19,656 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 81,437 | 85,723 | 90,009 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 8,881.5 | 8,881.5 | 8,881.5 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 9.17 | 9.65 | 10.13 | |||||
FX Rate: PHP/PHP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 9.17 | 9.65 | 10.13 | 6.08 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 50.8% | 58.7% | 66.7% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | SMC | LTG | AC | GTCAP | SM | AGI | |
Value of Common Equity | 195,241 | 127,635 | 356,074 | 107,642 | 958,521 | 54,000 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 2,383.9 | 10,816.5 | 623.6 | 215.3 | 1,228.9 | 8,881.5 | |
Implied Stock Price | 81.90 | 11.80 | 571.00 | 500.00 | 780.00 | 6.08 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 81.90 | 11.80 | 571.00 | 500.00 | 780.00 | 6.08 | |
Trading Currency | PHP | PHP | PHP | PHP | PHP | PHP | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |