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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 2.0x - 2.2x | 2.1x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 1.8x - 2.0x | 1.9x |
| Fair Value | $3.50 - $3.87 | $3.68 |
| Upside | 4.1% - 15.1% | 9.6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Woodside Energy Group Ltd | - | ASX:WDS |
| Karoon Energy Ltd | - | ASX:KAR |
| Horizon Oil Limited | - | ASX:HZN |
| Harbour Energy plc | - | DB:PQQ0 |
| Aker BP ASA | - | OB:AKRBP |
| Santos Limited | - | OTCPK:STOS.F |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| WDS | KAR | HZN | PQQ0 | AKRBP | STOS.F | |||
| ASX:WDS | ASX:KAR | ASX:HZN | DB:PQQ0 | OB:AKRBP | OTCPK:STOS.F | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 22.0% | 243.0% | -1.9% | 21.4% | 30.0% | 5.9% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 23.7% | 65.7% | 20.6% | 21.4% | 29.6% | 4.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -5.8% | -6.0% | -29.0% | 66.0% | -9.4% | -8.6% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 0.3% | -484.6% | 10.2% | -4.8% | 10.1% | 15.6% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 11.9% | 29.7% | 28.8% | 1.2% | 9.8% | 24.0% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 27.1% | 16.4% | 23.2% | -1.7% | 14.8% | 22.7% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 27.1% | 16.4% | 14.0% | -1.7% | 14.8% | 22.7% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.9x | 1.7x | 3.1x | 3.0x | 1.5x | 5.0x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 1.8x | 0.8x | 2.0x | 0.6x | 1.0x | 2.2x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 6.6x | 4.9x | 14.2x | -35.0x | 6.9x | 9.5x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.6x | 1.0x | 2.0x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 2.2x | 2.6x | 3.7x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 2.0x | 2.1x | 2.2x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 5,381 | 5,381 | 5,381 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 10,760 | 11,327 | 11,893 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 3,240.2 | 3,240.2 | 3,240.2 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 3.32 | 3.50 | 3.67 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 3.32 | 3.50 | 3.67 | 3.36 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -1.2% | 4.0% | 9.2% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | WDS | KAR | HZN | PQQ0 | AKRBP | STOS.F | |
| Value of Common Equity | 23,425 | 619 | 201 | 3,855 | 12,549 | 10,887 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,898.7 | 751.2 | 1,625.3 | 1,691.6 | 631.7 | 3,240.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 12.34 | 0.82 | 0.12 | 2.28 | 19.87 | 3.36 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 1.10 | 0.09 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 20.43 | 1.37 | 0.21 | 2.08 | 213.50 | 3.36 | |
| Trading Currency | AUD | AUD | AUD | EUR | NOK | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 1.10 | 0.09 | 1.00 | |