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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 1.1x - 1.3x | 1.2x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 1.1x - 1.2x | 1.2x |
| Fair Value | $5.38 - $5.94 | $5.66 |
| Upside | 0.7% - 11.3% | 6.0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| ERAMET S.A. | - | LSE:0MGV |
| Rio Tinto Group | - | LSE:RIO |
| Iluka Resources Limited | - | OTCPK:ILKA.F |
| The Chemours Company | - | LSE:0HWG |
| Tronox Holdings plc | - | DB:T5X |
| Kenmare Resources plc | - | OTCPK:KMRP.F |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 0MGV | RIO | ILKA.F | 0HWG | T5X | KMRP.F | |||
| LSE:0MGV | LSE:RIO | OTCPK:ILKA.F | LSE:0HWG | DB:T5X | OTCPK:KMRP.F | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -4.0% | 4.4% | -1.1% | 0.9% | 3.1% | 8.9% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -6.6% | -5.5% | -4.1% | -3.0% | -4.9% | -3.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -9.4% | -0.7% | -9.3% | -4.9% | 7.9% | -9.5% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -0.3% | 24.2% | 58.0% | 3.3% | 9.0% | 24.0% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 3.1% | 18.6% | 26.5% | -3.9% | -11.1% | 28.6% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 0.5% | 21.5% | 19.8% | 1.5% | -1.6% | 15.6% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 0.5% | 21.5% | 19.8% | 1.5% | -1.6% | 15.6% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.2x | 5.0x | 2.3x | 6.9x | 7.3x | 2.8x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.4x | 1.7x | 1.3x | 0.3x | 0.3x | 1.0x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 84.1x | 8.0x | 6.3x | 18.5x | -17.3x | 6.5x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.3x | 0.4x | 1.7x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.9x | 1.0x | 1.8x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 1.1x | 1.2x | 1.3x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 415 | 415 | 415 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 470 | 494 | 519 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 89.2 | 89.2 | 89.2 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 5.26 | 5.54 | 5.82 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 5.26 | 5.54 | 5.82 | 5.34 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -1.5% | 3.7% | 8.9% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 0MGV | RIO | ILKA.F | 0HWG | T5X | KMRP.F | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,210 | 87,939 | 1,692 | 1,580 | 808 | 476 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 28.5 | 1,624.6 | 525.7 | 149.4 | 157.9 | 89.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 42.48 | 54.13 | 3.22 | 10.58 | 5.11 | 5.34 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.28 | 1.65 | 1.00 | 1.10 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 42.48 | 42.34 | 1.95 | 10.58 | 4.66 | 5.34 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | GBP | USD | USD | EUR | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.28 | 1.65 | 1.00 | 1.10 | 1.00 | |