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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 1.5x - 1.6x | 1.5x |
Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 1.4x - 1.6x | 1.5x |
Fair Value | $14.29 - $15.80 | $15.05 |
Upside | -8.5% - 1.1% | -3.7% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Japan Communications Inc. | 942,400.0% | TSE:9424 |
Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Corporation | 943,200.0% | TSE:9432 |
MTN Group Limited | - | OTCPK:MTNO.F |
SoftBank Corp. | 943,400.0% | TSE:9434 |
Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company | 943,600.0% | TSE:9436 |
KDDI Corporation | - | OTCPK:KDDI.Y |
Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
9424 | 9432 | MTNO.F | 9434 | 9436 | KDDI.Y | |||
TSE:9424 | TSE:9432 | OTCPK:MTNO.F | TSE:9434 | TSE:9436 | OTCPK:KDDI.Y | |||
Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 16.0% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 10.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | ||
3Y CAGR | 28.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 21.7% | 3.2% | -14.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 1.7% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 2.4% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 12.8% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 11.4% | 9.2% | 1.8% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 11.9% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 18.4% | 9.6% | -5.1% | 8.0% | 15.6% | 11.1% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 9.9% | 8.2% | -5.1% | 8.1% | 14.7% | 10.7% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 17.1x | 6.4x | 5.0x | 7.2x | 8.4x | 7.1x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 2.7x | 0.9x | 1.2x | 1.6x | 2.5x | 1.6x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 27.2x | 10.7x | -23.4x | 19.4x | 16.8x | 14.9x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.9x | 1.6x | 2.7x | |||||
Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 1.4x | 1.6x | 1.6x | |||||
Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 1.5x | 1.5x | 1.6x | |||||
(x) LTM Sales | 5,852,711 | 5,852,711 | 5,852,711 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 8,518,649 | 8,966,999 | 9,415,348 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 3,981.2 | 3,981.2 | 3,981.2 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 2,139.74 | 2,252.36 | 2,364.97 | |||||
FX Rate: JPY/USD | 150.0 | 150.0 | 150.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 14.26 | 15.01 | 15.76 | 15.62 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -8.7% | -3.9% | 0.9% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 9424 | 9432 | MTNO.F | 9434 | 9436 | KDDI.Y | |
Value of Common Equity | 23,559 | 11,806,763 | 199,180 | 9,924,782 | 199,875 | 9,329,420 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 165.9 | 82,738.4 | 1,806.6 | 47,509.7 | 47.1 | 3,981.2 | |
Implied Stock Price | 142.00 | 142.70 | 110.25 | 208.90 | 4,245.00 | 2,343.39 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 18.85 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 150.03 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 142.00 | 142.70 | 5.85 | 208.90 | 4,245.00 | 15.62 | |
Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | USD | JPY | JPY | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 18.85 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 150.03 |