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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 10.1x - 11.2x | 10.6x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 8.8x - 9.7x | 9.3x |
| Fair Value | $12.86 - $14.62 | $13.74 |
| Upside | -17.7% - -6.4% | -12.0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Japan Communications Inc. | 9424 | TSE:9424 |
| Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Corporation | 9432 | TSE:9432 |
| MTN Group Limited | MTNO.F | OTCPK:MTNO.F |
| SoftBank Corp. | 9434 | TSE:9434 |
| Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company | 9436 | TSE:9436 |
| KDDI Corporation | KDDI.Y | OTCPK:KDDI.Y |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 9424 | 9432 | MTNO.F | 9434 | 9436 | KDDI.Y | ||
| TSE:9424 | TSE:9432 | OTCPK:MTNO.F | TSE:9434 | TSE:9436 | OTCPK:KDDI.Y | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | -0.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.6% | -1.5% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 1.2% | -5.7% | -4.3% | 5.6% | -3.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -0.1% | 9.3% | -24.2% | 88.0% | 3.1% | -6.5% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 3.4% | 14.5% | 27.0% | 16.0% | 20.6% | 18.3% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 12.2% | 13.9% | 25.8% | 12.8% | 20.6% | 17.9% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 15.4% | 14.4% | 22.9% | 14.2% | 21.8% | 16.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 11.6% | 14.3% | 22.9% | 14.9% | 20.8% | 16.2% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.39x | 1.72x | 1.75x | 1.91x | 2.42x | 1.99x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 17.1x | 6.4x | 5.0x | 7.2x | 8.4x | 7.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 20.6x | 12.0x | 7.6x | 12.8x | 11.6x | 12.3x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 7.6x | 12.0x | 20.6x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 6.6x | 6.9x | 10.1x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 10.1x | 10.6x | 11.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 950,006 | 950,006 | 950,006 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 9,584,053 | 10,088,477 | 10,592,901 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (2,294,875) | (2,294,875) | (2,294,875) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 7,289,178 | 7,793,602 | 8,298,026 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 3,981.2 | 3,981.2 | 3,981.2 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 1,830.92 | 1,957.62 | 2,084.32 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/USD | 150.0 | 150.0 | 150.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 12.20 | 13.05 | 13.89 | 15.62 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -21.9% | -16.5% | -11.1% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 9424 | 9432 | MTNO.F | 9434 | 9436 | KDDI.Y | |
| Enterprise Value | 20,773 | 23,391,668 | 304,363 | 12,114,562 | 196,272 | 11,624,295 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 2,730 | 1,198,183 | 39,263 | 1,890,824 | 3,086 | 900,929 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 160 | 430,608 | 28,878 | 3,653,910 | 3,099 | 1,578,744 | |
| (-) Debt | (45) | (12,092,802) | (158,322) | (6,215,808) | (12) | (4,232,052) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (60) | (1,120,894) | (15,002) | (1,518,706) | (2,570) | (542,496) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 23,559 | 11,806,763 | 199,180 | 9,924,782 | 199,875 | 9,329,420 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 165.9 | 82,738.4 | 1,806.6 | 47,509.7 | 47.1 | 3,981.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 142.00 | 142.70 | 110.25 | 208.90 | 4,245.00 | 2,343.39 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 18.85 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 150.03 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 142.00 | 142.70 | 5.85 | 208.90 | 4,245.00 | 15.62 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | USD | JPY | JPY | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 18.85 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 150.03 | |