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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 0.3x - 0.3x | 0.3x |
Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 0.1x - 0.2x | 0.1x |
Fair Value | $0.78 - $0.87 | $0.82 |
Upside | 25.5% - 38.7% | 32.1% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
flyExclusive, Inc. | - | NYSEAM:FLYX |
American Airlines Group Inc. | - | BMV:AAL* |
Mesa Air Group, Inc. | - | NasdaqCM:MESA |
SkyWest, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:SKYW |
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. | - | BMV:UAL* |
Global Crossing Airlines Group Inc. | - | PINC:JETM.F |
Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
FLYX | AAL * | MESA | SKYW | UAL * | JETM.F | |||
NYSEAM:FLYX | BMV:AAL* | NasdaqCM:MESA | NasdaqGS:SKYW | BMV:UAL* | PINC:JETM.F | |||
Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | 3.4% | -6.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | NM- | ||
3Y CAGR | 16.3% | 22.0% | -3.0% | 9.1% | 32.3% | 150.2% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 3.8% | 1.9% | -6.6% | 20.5% | 5.3% | 39.7% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -15.0% | -9.9% | -11.2% | 3.5% | -8.0% | -64.1% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | -14.9% | 1.6% | -34.4% | 1.2% | 4.9% | -13.1% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | -7.8% | 1.6% | -24.1% | 9.2% | 5.5% | -5.1% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -7.8% | 1.3% | -19.9% | 9.9% | 6.3% | -5.1% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | -8.9x | 6.6x | 12.5x | 6.0x | 4.5x | 35.2x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.7x | 0.1x | 0.1x | 1.0x | 0.4x | 0.2x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | -9.2x | 9.4x | -0.5x | 9.8x | 6.1x | -3.3x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.1x | 0.4x | 1.0x | |||||
Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.2x | 0.4x | 25.3x | |||||
Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 0.3x | 0.3x | 0.3x | |||||
(x) LTM Sales | 224 | 224 | 224 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 58 | 61 | 64 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 63.9 | 63.9 | 63.9 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 0.91 | 0.96 | 1.01 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.91 | 0.96 | 1.01 | 0.62 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 46.0% | 53.7% | 61.4% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | FLYX | AAL * | MESA | SKYW | UAL * | JETM.F | |
Value of Common Equity | 60 | 6,371 | 48 | 3,558 | 22,565 | 40 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 20.2 | 659.5 | 41.3 | 40.5 | 326.6 | 63.9 | |
Implied Stock Price | 2.95 | 9.66 | 1.15 | 87.92 | 69.09 | 0.62 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 0.05 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.05 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.95 | 188.75 | 1.15 | 87.92 | 1,350.00 | 0.62 | |
Trading Currency | USD | MXN | USD | USD | MXN | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 0.05 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.05 | 1.00 |