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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 6.6x - 7.2x | 6.9x |
| Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 5.3x - 5.8x | 5.5x |
| Fair Value | $14.72 - $16.27 | $15.49 |
| Upside | -16.5% - -7.8% | -12.1% |
| Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
| DEUTZ Aktiengesellschaft | - | BIT:1DEZ |
| Daimler Truck Holding AG | - | BIT:1DTRH |
| Traton SE | - | BIT:18TRA |
| AB Volvo (publ) | - | BIT:1VOLVB |
| Oshkosh Corporation | - | DB:OK3 |
| Iveco Group N.V. | - | OTCPK:IVCG.F |
| - | - | - |
| Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 1DEZ | 1DTRH | 18TRA | 1VOLVB | OK3 | IVCG.F | |||
| BIT:1DEZ | BIT:1DTRH | BIT:18TRA | BIT:1VOLVB | DB:OK3 | OTCPK:IVCG.F | |||
| Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -4.3% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 44.8% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 3.2% | 7.3% | 83.1% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 117.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -83.6% | -25.2% | -4.9% | -9.4% | -10.8% | 112.3% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 1.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 0.8% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 1.6% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 2.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 3.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 0.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 16.2x | 9.5x | 5.7x | 10.1x | 6.5x | 6.3x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.5x | 0.6x | 0.3x | 1.1x | 0.6x | 0.3x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 63.9x | 10.8x | 6.1x | 12.2x | 10.6x | 7.8x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | 6.1x | 10.8x | 63.9x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -43.1x | 5.9x | 7.8x | |||||
| Selected P/E Multiple | 6.6x | 6.9x | 7.2x | |||||
| (x) LTM Net Income | 535 | 535 | 535 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 3,505 | 3,690 | 3,874 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 264.3 | 264.3 | 264.3 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 13.26 | 13.96 | 14.66 | |||||
| FX Rate: EUR/USD | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 14.83 | 15.61 | 16.39 | 17.64 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -15.9% | -11.5% | -7.1% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 1DEZ | 1DTRH | 18TRA | 1VOLVB | OK3 | IVCG.F | |
| Value of Common Equity | 993 | 36,240 | 15,240 | 562,248 | 6,410 | 4,169 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 138.8 | 896.1 | 500.0 | 2,033.5 | 64.4 | 264.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 7.16 | 40.44 | 30.48 | 276.50 | 99.57 | 15.77 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10.89 | 1.12 | 0.89 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 7.16 | 40.44 | 30.48 | 25.40 | 89.04 | 17.64 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10.89 | 1.12 | 0.89 | |