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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 0.6x - 0.6x | 0.6x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 0.6x - 0.6x | 0.6x |
| Fair Value | $50.43 - $55.74 | $53.08 |
| Upside | 12.1% - 23.9% | 18.0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| CTT - Correios De Portugal, S.A. | - | DB:C7T |
| Logista Integral, S.A. | - | DB:5CI |
| Österreichische Post AG | - | XTRA:O3P |
| Ferrari Group PLC | 4,600.0% | DB:046 |
| Hub Group, Inc. | - | DB:HBG |
| Deutsche Post AG | - | OTCPK:DPST.F |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| C7T | 5CI | O3P | 46 | HBG | DPST.F | |||
| DB:C7T | DB:5CI | XTRA:O3P | DB:046 | DB:HBG | OTCPK:DPST.F | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 9.9% | 5.1% | 8.9% | NM- | 1.5% | 5.9% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 11.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 13.9% | -2.3% | 1.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 17.7% | 4.0% | 10.4% | 4.7% | -4.6% | 4.9% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 4.2% | 1.9% | 5.3% | 15.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 6.0% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 15.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 15.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 15.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -6.2x | 9.0x | 9.4x | 10.0x | 7.7x | 8.1x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.8x | 0.3x | 0.7x | 2.5x | 0.6x | 0.5x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 23.0x | 12.3x | 15.2x | 15.5x | 20.7x | 13.1x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.3x | 0.7x | 2.5x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.4x | 0.6x | 0.9x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 0.6x | 0.6x | 0.6x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 85,330 | 85,330 | 85,330 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 48,757 | 51,323 | 53,889 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,134.6 | 1,134.6 | 1,134.6 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 42.97 | 45.24 | 47.50 | |||||
| FX Rate: EUR/USD | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 49.85 | 52.48 | 55.10 | 44.98 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 10.8% | 16.7% | 22.5% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | C7T | 5CI | O3P | 46 | HBG | DPST.F | |
| Value of Common Equity | 998 | 3,705 | 2,060 | 842 | 2,089 | 43,990 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 128.4 | 132.0 | 67.6 | 91.3 | 61.2 | 1,134.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 7.77 | 28.06 | 30.50 | 9.22 | 34.11 | 38.77 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.16 | 0.86 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 7.77 | 28.06 | 30.50 | 9.22 | 29.40 | 44.98 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.16 | 0.86 | |