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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 0.7x - 0.8x | 0.8x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 0.7x - 0.7x | 0.7x |
| Fair Value | $4.25 - $4.70 | $4.47 |
| Upside | -14.0% - -4.9% | -9.5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| MingZhu Logistics Holdings Limited | - | NasdaqCM:YGMZ |
| Guangshen Railway Company Limited | - | OTCPK:GNGY.F |
| Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. | - | NYSE:YMM |
| Webus International Limited | - | NasdaqCM:WETO |
| Pony Group Inc. | - | OTCPK:PNYG |
| DiDi Global Inc. | - | OTCPK:DIDI.Y |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| YGMZ | GNGY.F | YMM | WETO | PNYG | DIDI.Y | |||
| NasdaqCM:YGMZ | OTCPK:GNGY.F | NYSE:YMM | NasdaqCM:WETO | OTCPK:PNYG | OTCPK:DIDI.Y | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 26.3% | 5.0% | 35.4% | NM- | 8.4% | 7.3% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 67.9% | 10.3% | 34.1% | 62.8% | -14.8% | 10.7% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -49.2% | 13.3% | 33.2% | -70.2% | -45.2% | 13.3% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -1.5% | -1.9% | -31.8% | -16.9% | -112.5% | -12.0% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -0.1% | 4.0% | 26.2% | -11.4% | -83.6% | -17.5% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 0.4% | 3.9% | 27.3% | -8.8% | -168.5% | -0.3% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -15.5% | 3.9% | 27.3% | -8.8% | -168.5% | 3.4% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -2.6x | 5.1x | 26.6x | -121.7x | NA | 39.5x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.1x | 0.7x | 8.7x | 13.8x | 24.9x | 0.9x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | -0.6x | 15.3x | 31.9x | -156.0x | -14.8x | 25.1x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.1x | 8.7x | 24.9x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.7x | 0.8x | 0.8x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 0.7x | 0.8x | 0.8x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 203,304 | 203,304 | 203,304 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 149,026 | 156,869 | 164,713 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 4,842.2 | 4,842.2 | 4,842.2 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 30.78 | 32.40 | 34.02 | |||||
| FX Rate: CNY/USD | 7.3 | 7.3 | 7.3 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 4.24 | 4.46 | 4.68 | 4.94 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -14.2% | -9.7% | -5.2% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | YGMZ | GNGY.F | YMM | WETO | PNYG | DIDI.Y | |
| Value of Common Equity | 5 | 22,004 | 97,990 | 633 | 2 | 173,754 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 6.7 | 10,700.6 | 1,045.8 | 22.0 | 11.5 | 4,842.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.76 | 2.06 | 93.70 | 28.76 | 0.21 | 35.88 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 7.26 | 7.26 | 7.26 | 1.00 | 7.26 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.76 | 0.28 | 12.90 | 3.96 | 0.21 | 4.94 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 7.26 | 7.26 | 7.26 | 1.00 | 7.26 | |