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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | -1.2x - -1.3x | -1.2x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | -1.8x - -2.0x | -1.9x |
Fair Value | $4.75 - $5.25 | $5 |
Upside | -39.9% - -33.6% | -36.8% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Ulta Beauty, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:ULTA |
CarParts.com, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:PRTS |
Zumiez Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:ZUMZ |
Valvoline Inc. | - | NYSE:VVV |
Duluth Holdings Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:DLTH |
Digital Brands Group, Inc. | - | OTCPK:DBGI |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
ULTA | PRTS | ZUMZ | VVV | DLTH | DBGI | |||
NasdaqGS:ULTA | NasdaqGS:PRTS | NasdaqGS:ZUMZ | NYSE:VVV | NasdaqGS:DLTH | OTCPK:DBGI | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 11.2% | NM- | NM- | 0.6% | NM- | NM- | ||
3Y CAGR | 6.8% | NM- | NM- | 2.3% | NM- | NM- | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -7.0% | -393.7% | 97.3% | 24.4% | -340.1% | -50.9% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 9.7% | -2.6% | 3.1% | 48.0% | 0.8% | -246.8% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 11.5% | -1.2% | -7.2% | 13.8% | -1.5% | -58.2% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 10.6% | -6.9% | -0.2% | 13.2% | -7.0% | -113.4% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 10.6% | -6.9% | -0.2% | 16.1% | -7.0% | -113.4% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.3x | -2.4x | 11.2x | 11.0x | 116.8x | -6.2x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 1.6x | 0.1x | 0.3x | 2.5x | 0.1x | 2.8x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 14.7x | -1.2x | -137.6x | 15.7x | -1.6x | -2.5x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -137.6x | -1.2x | 15.7x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -2.5x | -0.5x | 0.0x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | -1.2x | -1.2x | -1.3x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | (13) | (13) | (13) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.1 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 3.70 | 3.90 | 4.09 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 3.70 | 3.90 | 4.09 | 7.90 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -53.1% | -50.7% | -48.2% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | ULTA | PRTS | ZUMZ | VVV | DLTH | DBGI | |
Value of Common Equity | 17,528 | 49 | 241 | 4,309 | 70 | 33 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 45.1 | 58.3 | 19.6 | 127.1 | 35.7 | 4.1 | |
Implied Stock Price | 388.24 | 0.84 | 12.31 | 33.90 | 1.95 | 7.90 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 388.24 | 0.84 | 12.31 | 33.90 | 1.95 | 7.90 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |