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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 9.5x - 10.5x | 10.0x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 7.7x - 8.5x | 8.1x |
| Fair Value | $0.68 - $0.79 | $0.73 |
| Upside | 13.3% - 31.4% | 22.4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| GCC, S.A.B. de C.V. | GCC * | BMV:GCC* |
| James Hardie Industries plc | JHX | NYSE:JHX |
| Knife River Corporation | KNF | NYSE:KNF |
| Titan Cement International S.A. | TITC | ENXTBR:TITC |
| Vulcan Materials Company | VMC * | BMV:VMC* |
| CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V. | CXMS.F | PINC:CXMS.F |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| GCC * | JHX | KNF | TITC | VMC * | CXMS.F | ||
| BMV:GCC* | NYSE:JHX | NYSE:KNF | ENXTBR:TITC | BMV:VMC* | PINC:CXMS.F | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 16.3% | 19.2% | NM- | 25.8% | 10.6% | 6.9% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 17.4% | 14.4% | 20.1% | 46.3% | 16.8% | 1.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -4.7% | -1.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | -15.9% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 24.8% | 21.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 17.2% | 10.9% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 27.9% | 20.6% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 11.6% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 28.4% | 23.9% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 19.1% | 11.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 28.2% | 22.6% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 19.5% | 10.1% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.91x | 2.85x | 2.05x | 1.33x | 5.42x | 0.90x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.3x | 10.2x | 12.8x | 6.3x | 19.1x | 5.7x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 6.8x | 12.6x | 18.1x | 8.5x | 27.7x | 8.9x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 6.8x | 12.6x | 27.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 6.8x | 9.9x | 16.9x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 9.5x | 10.0x | 10.5x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 1,608 | 1,608 | 1,608 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 15,275 | 16,079 | 16,883 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (5,112) | (5,112) | (5,112) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 10,163 | 10,967 | 11,771 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 14,486.9 | 14,486.9 | 14,486.9 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.70 | 0.76 | 0.81 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.70 | 0.76 | 0.81 | 0.60 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 16.9% | 26.2% | 35.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | GCC * | JHX | KNF | TITC | VMC * | CXMS.F | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,538 | 11,039 | 5,901 | 3,518 | 39,593 | 13,804 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 873 | 539 | 237 | 124 | 181 | 1,179 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 29 | 0 | 46 | 106 | 31 | 768 | |
| (-) Debt | (632) | (1,188) | (727) | (745) | (5,533) | (6,763) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (1) | 0 | 0 | (37) | (24) | (296) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,807 | 10,390 | 5,457 | 2,965 | 34,247 | 8,692 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 327.4 | 429.9 | 56.7 | 74.2 | 132.1 | 14,486.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 8.57 | 24.17 | 96.33 | 39.95 | 259.25 | 0.60 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.05 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.05 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 168.07 | 24.17 | 96.33 | 39.95 | 5,082.10 | 0.60 | |
| Trading Currency | MXN | USD | USD | EUR | MXN | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.05 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.05 | 1.00 | |