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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 10.8% - 9.8% | 10.3% |
Terminal EBITDA Multiple | 16.2x - 18.2x | 17.2x |
Fair Value | $0.46 - $0.54 | $0.50 |
Upside | 1.7% - 19.7% | 10.4% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | |||||||||||
(SGD in millions) | Input Projections | ||||||||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Dec-32 | Dec-33 | Dec-34 |
Revenue | 173 | 173 | 173 | 173 | 173 | 173 | 173 | 173 | 173 | 173 | 173 |
% Growth | -3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
EBITDA | 75 | 69 | 69 | 69 | 69 | 69 | 69 | 69 | 69 | 69 | 69 |
% of Revenue | 43.2% | 40.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | |||||||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | |||||||||||
(SGD in millions) | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Dec-32 | Dec-33 | Dec-34 | |
EBITDA | 69 | 69 | 69 | 69 | 69 | 69 | 69 | 69 | 69 | 69 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (38) | (38) | (38) | (38) | (38) | (38) | (38) | (38) | (38) | (38) | |
EBIT | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (7) | (7) | (7) | (7) | (7) | (7) | (7) | (7) | (7) | (7) | |
NOPAT | 31 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 |
Capital Expenditures | (15) | (15) | (15) | (15) | (15) | (15) | (15) | (15) | (15) | (15) | (15) |
NWC Investment | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
(+) D&A | 36 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 |
Free Cash Flow | 52 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 |
% Growth | -9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |