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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 23.6x - 26.0x | 24.8x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 14.0x - 15.5x | 14.8x |
Fair Value | $25.50 - $28.18 | $26.84 |
Upside | -7.4% - 2.3% | -2.6% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Ameren Corporation | - | BMV:AEE* |
CenterPoint Energy, Inc. | - | NYSE:CNP |
Emera Incorporated | - | TSX:EMA |
Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated | - | BMV:PEG* |
Hydro One Limited | - | TSX:H |
Canadian Utilities Limited | - | OTCPK:CDUA.F |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
AEE * | CNP | EMA | PEG * | H | CDUA.F | |||
BMV:AEE* | NYSE:CNP | TSX:EMA | BMV:PEG* | TSX:H | OTCPK:CDUA.F | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 7.4% | 20.7% | -5.7% | 0.9% | 8.2% | -14.5% | ||
3Y CAGR | 6.1% | 21.2% | -1.1% | NM- | 6.2% | 7.1% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 5.3% | 6.9% | 39.2% | 1.2% | 11.4% | -31.6% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 15.7% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 14.9% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 16.0% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 22.8% | 13.8% | 16.6% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 16.1% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 10.8% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 15.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 17.0% | 14.0% | 10.6% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 14.0x | 13.1x | 12.8x | 16.2x | 15.7x | 13.4x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 3.4x | 2.6x | 2.3x | 3.8x | 3.3x | 2.7x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 21.4x | 24.5x | 20.9x | 22.6x | 23.9x | 25.8x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | 20.9x | 22.6x | 24.5x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | 14.7x | 20.8x | 38.7x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | 23.6x | 24.8x | 26.0x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | 397 | 397 | 397 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 9,352 | 9,845 | 10,337 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 271.8 | 271.8 | 271.8 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 34.41 | 36.22 | 38.03 | |||||
FX Rate: CAD/USD | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 25.08 | 26.40 | 27.72 | 27.55 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -9.0% | -4.2% | 0.6% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | AEE * | CNP | EMA | PEG * | H | CDUA.F | |
Value of Common Equity | 26,983 | 23,674 | 18,324 | 45,319 | 29,479 | 10,273 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 270.3 | 652.7 | 297.9 | 556.2 | 599.8 | 271.8 | |
Implied Stock Price | 99.83 | 36.27 | 61.51 | 81.48 | 49.15 | 37.79 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.05 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.05 | 1.00 | 1.37 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1,903.08 | 36.27 | 61.51 | 1,553.25 | 49.15 | 27.55 | |
Trading Currency | MXN | USD | CAD | MXN | CAD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.05 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.05 | 1.00 | 1.37 |