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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 2.9x - 3.2x | 3.1x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 2.5x - 2.8x | 2.7x |
| Fair Value | $20.38 - $22.52 | $21.45 |
| Upside | -10.0% - -0.6% | -5.3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Anglo American plc | - | LSE:AAL |
| Central Asia Metals plc | - | AIM:CAML |
| Rio Tinto Group | - | LSE:RIO |
| Hochschild Mining plc | - | LSE:HOC |
| B2Gold Corp. | - | LSE:0QYN |
| Antofagasta plc | - | PINC:ANFG.F |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| AAL | CAML | RIO | HOC | 0QYN | ANFG.F | |||
| LSE:AAL | AIM:CAML | LSE:RIO | LSE:HOC | LSE:0QYN | PINC:ANFG.F | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -1.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 10.5% | 5.9% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -13.1% | -1.4% | -5.5% | 5.3% | 2.6% | -4.0% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -11.0% | 5.4% | -0.7% | 36.6% | -1.7% | 4.6% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 12.9% | 24.7% | 24.2% | 2.9% | 16.3% | 23.8% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 0.9% | 18.2% | 18.6% | -7.9% | 0.5% | 13.2% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | -11.2% | 23.8% | 21.5% | 10.2% | -33.1% | 12.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -11.2% | 23.8% | 21.5% | 10.2% | -33.1% | 12.5% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.9x | 2.9x | 5.6x | 5.6x | 4.3x | 8.6x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 1.3x | 1.7x | 1.9x | 2.0x | 2.1x | 3.4x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | -11.2x | 7.0x | 8.9x | 19.1x | -6.3x | 26.9x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 1.3x | 1.9x | 2.1x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 3.0x | 3.4x | 3.4x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 2.9x | 3.1x | 3.2x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 6,613 | 6,613 | 6,613 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 19,313 | 20,330 | 21,346 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 985.9 | 985.9 | 985.9 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 19.59 | 20.62 | 21.65 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 19.59 | 20.62 | 21.65 | 22.65 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -13.5% | -9.0% | -4.4% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | AAL | CAML | RIO | HOC | 0QYN | ANFG.F | |
| Value of Common Equity | 34,279 | 361 | 98,380 | 1,880 | 4,078 | 22,332 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,213.4 | 174.6 | 1,624.6 | 514.5 | 1,319.6 | 985.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 28.25 | 2.07 | 60.56 | 3.65 | 3.09 | 22.65 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.34 | 1.34 | 1.34 | 1.34 | 0.72 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 21.11 | 1.55 | 45.25 | 2.73 | 4.28 | 22.65 | |
| Trading Currency | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | CAD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.34 | 1.34 | 1.34 | 1.34 | 0.72 | 1.00 | |