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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 43.2x - 47.7x | 45.4x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 17.7x - 19.6x | 18.7x |
Fair Value | kr46.80 - kr52.52 | kr49.66 |
Upside | 30.9% - 46.9% | 38.9% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Lipidor AB (publ) | LIPI | OM:LIPI |
Klaria Pharma Holding AB (publ.) | KLAR | OM:KLAR |
ODI Pharma AB (publ) | ODI | NGM:ODI |
IRLAB Therapeutics AB (publ) | IRLAB A | OM:IRLABA |
Enorama Pharma AB (publ) | ERMA | OM:ERMA |
Swedencare AB (publ) | SECARE | OM:SECARE |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
LIPI | KLAR | ODI | IRLAB A | ERMA | SECARE | ||
OM:LIPI | OM:KLAR | NGM:ODI | OM:IRLABA | OM:ERMA | OM:SECARE | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | 41.9% | |
3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | 28.5% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 8.0% | -112.6% | 19.5% | 58.3% | -13.8% | -7.6% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -6439.0% | -851.0% | 949.0% | 10282.0% | -989.5% | 11.7% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | -17763.2% | NA | -4884.2% | -3171.7% | -3079.8% | 8.0% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | -243.1% | -1388.2% | 1.9% | -79.4% | -301.9% | 8.4% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -243.1% | -1388.2% | -13.9% | -79.4% | -301.9% | 7.7% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 35.83x | 73.79x | 1.66x | 3.81x | 11.72x | 2.79x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | -15.0x | -8.3x | -12.0x | -5.1x | -3.9x | 15.1x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | -14.7x | -5.3x | -12.0x | -4.8x | -3.9x | 36.4x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -14.7x | -5.3x | -3.9x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 38.4x | 69.8x | 305.6x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 43.2x | 45.4x | 47.7x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 198 | 198 | 198 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 8,561 | 9,012 | 9,462 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,211) | (1,211) | (1,211) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 7,350 | 7,801 | 8,251 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 159.8 | 159.8 | 159.8 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 45.98 | 48.80 | 51.62 | ||||
FX Rate: SEK/SEK | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 45.98 | 48.80 | 51.62 | 35.75 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 28.6% | 36.5% | 44.4% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | LIPI | KLAR | ODI | IRLAB A | ERMA | SECARE | |
Enterprise Value | 211 | 166 | 36 | 360 | 185 | 6,925 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 10 | 1 | 5 | 67 | 2 | 527 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
(-) Debt | 0 | 0 | 0 | (60) | 0 | (1,739) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 222 | 166 | 41 | 367 | 187 | 5,714 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 813.4 | 144.8 | 15.9 | 51.9 | 60.5 | 159.8 | |
Implied Stock Price | 0.27 | 1.15 | 2.58 | 7.07 | 3.09 | 35.75 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.27 | 1.15 | 2.58 | 7.07 | 3.09 | 35.75 | |
Trading Currency | SEK | SEK | SEK | SEK | SEK | SEK | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |