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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Discount Rate | 10.8% - 9.8% | 10.3% |
| Perpetuity Growth Rate | 0.0% - 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Fair Value | kr123.51 - kr144.61 | kr130.50 |
| Upside | 24.0% - 45.2% | 31.0% |
| Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | |||||||
| (SEK in millions) | Input Projections | ||||||
| Fiscal Years Ending | Mar-24 | Mar-25 | Mar-26 | Mar-27 | Mar-28 | Mar-29 | |
| Revenue | 42,344 | 22,528 | 20,968 | 21,672 | 21,963 | 22,430 | |
| % Growth | 12.3% | -46.8% | -6.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | |
| EBITDA | -4,049 | 5,562 | 6,079 | 7,099 | 12,688 | 8,595 | |
| % of Revenue | -9.6% | 24.7% | 29.0% | 32.8% | 57.8% | 38.3% | |
| Calculation of Free Cash Flow | |||||||
| Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | |||||||
| (SEK in millions) | Mar-25 | Mar-26 | Mar-27 | Mar-28 | Mar-29 | Terminal | |
| EBITDA | 5,562 | 6,079 | 7,099 | 12,688 | 8,595 | 8,595 | |
| Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| D&A | (2,316) | (2,911) | (3,250) | (9,254) | (4,892) | (3,919) | |
| EBIT | 3,246 | 3,168 | 3,849 | 3,434 | 3,703 | 4,676 | |
| Pro forma Taxes | (714) | (697) | (847) | (755) | (815) | (1,029) | |
| NOPAT | (8,193) | 2,532 | 2,471 | 3,002 | 2,679 | 2,888 | 3,647 |
| Capital Expenditures | (317) | (3,836) | (3,516) | (3,465) | (4,015) | (4,125) | (4,125) |
| NWC Investment | (1,603) | 6,845 | 539 | (243) | (100) | (161) | 0 |
| (+) D&A | 6,455 | 2,316 | 2,911 | 3,250 | 9,254 | 4,892 | 3,919 |
| Free Cash Flow | (3,659) | 7,857 | 2,405 | 2,544 | 7,817 | 3,494 | 3,441 |
| % Growth | NM | -69% | 6% | 207% | -55% | -2% | |