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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 2.3x - 2.5x | 2.4x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 1.4x - 1.6x | 1.5x |
| Fair Value | $27.09 - $29.94 | $28.51 |
| Upside | -3.3% - 6.9% | 1.8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais S.A. | - | OTCPK:USNZ.Y |
| Ternium S.A. | - | NYSE:TX |
| Industrias CH, S. A. B. de C. V. | - | OTCPK:ICHB.F |
| Minera Frisco, S.A.B. de C.V. | - | OTCPK:MFRV.F |
| Gerdau S.A. | - | NYSE:GGB |
| Grupo Simec, S.A.B. de C.V. | - | NYSEAM:SIM |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| USNZ.Y | TX | ICHB.F | MFRV.F | GGB | SIM | |||
| OTCPK:USNZ.Y | NYSE:TX | OTCPK:ICHB.F | OTCPK:MFRV.F | NYSE:GGB | NYSEAM:SIM | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 11.6% | 11.6% | 0.3% | 1.9% | 11.1% | -0.3% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -8.5% | 3.1% | -14.8% | -6.6% | -5.1% | -15.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 2.7% | -16.3% | -7.8% | 39.2% | 7.0% | -6.5% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 10.4% | 11.4% | 15.5% | -10.2% | 11.5% | 15.4% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 5.0% | 3.8% | 8.2% | -8.9% | 10.9% | 10.4% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | -0.6% | -0.3% | 24.5% | -9.0% | 6.8% | 31.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 1.4% | 3.7% | 12.0% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 16.6% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.7x | 8.7x | 7.6x | 14.6x | 4.6x | 8.4x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.2x | 0.4x | 1.9x | 4.9x | 0.5x | 2.4x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 13.8x | 11.7x | 16.0x | 246.9x | 10.0x | 14.7x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.2x | 0.5x | 4.9x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 1.2x | 1.8x | 2.6x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 2.3x | 2.4x | 2.5x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 32,213 | 32,213 | 32,213 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 73,922 | 77,813 | 81,704 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 153.5 | 153.5 | 153.5 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 481.44 | 506.78 | 532.12 | |||||
| FX Rate: MXN/USD | 18.4 | 18.4 | 18.4 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 26.19 | 27.57 | 28.95 | 28.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -6.5% | -1.5% | 3.4% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | USNZ.Y | TX | ICHB.F | MFRV.F | GGB | SIM | |
| Value of Common Equity | 5,379 | 6,941 | 63,416 | 54,731 | 33,803 | 79,027 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,230.9 | 196.3 | 347.8 | 9,304.7 | 2,013.8 | 153.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 4.37 | 35.36 | 182.35 | 5.88 | 16.79 | 514.69 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 5.33 | 1.00 | 18.38 | 18.38 | 5.33 | 18.38 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.82 | 35.36 | 9.92 | 0.32 | 3.15 | 28.00 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 5.33 | 1.00 | 18.38 | 18.38 | 5.33 | 18.38 | |