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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 11.8% - 10.8% | 11.3% |
Terminal Revenue Multiple | 0.6x - 0.7x | 0.7x |
Fair Value | $1.29 - $1.46 | $1.37 |
Upside | 5.7% - 19.6% | 12.6% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
(USD in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Mar-24 | Mar-25 | Mar-26 | Mar-27 | Mar-28 | Mar-29 |
Revenue | 24 | 25 | 32 | 39 | 44 | 47 |
% Growth | 4.3% | 2.2% | 29.1% | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
EBITDA | -7 | -3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
% of Revenue | -29.1% | -11.1% | 1.9% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.4% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
(USD in millions) | Mar-25 | Mar-26 | Mar-27 | Mar-28 | Mar-29 | |
EBITDA | (3) | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (2) | (2) | (2) | (3) | (3) | |
EBIT | (5) | (1) | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Pro forma Taxes | 0 | 0 | (0) | (0) | (0) | |
NOPAT | (7) | (5) | (1) | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Capital Expenditures | (0) | (0) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) |
NWC Investment | (0) | (0) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (0) |
(+) D&A | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Free Cash Flow | (6) | (3) | (1) | 1 | 3 | 3 |
% Growth | NM | NM | NM | 116% | 32% |