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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 14.9x - 16.5x | 15.7x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 13.6x - 15.1x | 14.4x |
Fair Value | $2.59 - $2.86 | $2.73 |
Upside | -23.8% - -15.8% | -19.8% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. | - | NYSE:SPR |
Ducommun Incorporated | - | NYSE:DCO |
AeroVironment, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:AVAV |
Optex Systems Holdings, Inc | - | NasdaqCM:OPXS |
AAR Corp. | - | NYSE:AIR |
CPI Aerostructures, Inc. | - | NYSEAM:CVU |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
SPR | DCO | AVAV | OPXS | AIR | CVU | |||
NYSE:SPR | NYSE:DCO | NasdaqGS:AVAV | NasdaqCM:OPXS | NYSE:AIR | NYSEAM:CVU | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | -0.6% | 1.1% | -0.2% | -12.7% | NM- | ||
3Y CAGR | NM- | -38.5% | NM- | 36.8% | -45.7% | -21.5% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -124.4% | 100.4% | -26.9% | 39.6% | -72.7% | -89.0% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -17.1% | 7.1% | -1.7% | 9.7% | 2.5% | 7.0% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | -10.2% | 2.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 2.0% | 19.9% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | -33.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 11.1% | 0.4% | 4.1% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -34.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 13.1% | 0.4% | 2.3% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | -6.9x | 15.6x | 128.0x | 12.9x | 15.5x | 12.0x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.8x | 1.7x | 16.3x | 2.3x | 1.0x | 0.6x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | -2.3x | 37.5x | 305.8x | 17.8x | 218.9x | 24.5x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -2.3x | 37.5x | 305.8x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -6.1x | 3.7x | 21.0x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | 14.9x | 15.7x | 16.5x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 27 | 28 | 30 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 13.0 | 13.0 | 13.0 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 2.08 | 2.19 | 2.29 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 2.08 | 2.19 | 2.29 | 3.40 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -38.9% | -35.7% | -32.5% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | SPR | DCO | AVAV | OPXS | AIR | CVU | |
Value of Common Equity | 4,808 | 1,320 | 13,338 | 87 | 2,737 | 44 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 117.3 | 14.9 | 49.2 | 6.9 | 35.3 | 13.0 | |
Implied Stock Price | 40.98 | 88.69 | 271.20 | 12.59 | 77.50 | 3.40 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 40.98 | 88.69 | 271.20 | 12.59 | 77.50 | 3.40 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |