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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 5.4x - 6.0x | 5.7x |
Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 3.4x - 3.7x | 3.6x |
Fair Value | $2.75 - $3.04 | $2.90 |
Upside | -18.4% - -9.8% | -14.1% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd. | - | TSXV:GSVR |
Jaguar Mining Inc. | - | TSX:JAG |
Americas Gold and Silver Corporation | - | TSX:USA |
Endeavour Silver Corp. | - | TSX:EDR |
First Quantum Minerals Ltd. | - | TSX:FM |
Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. | - | NYSEAM:ASM |
Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
GSVR | JAG | USA | EDR | FM | ASM | |||
TSXV:GSVR | TSX:JAG | TSX:USA | TSX:EDR | TSX:FM | NYSEAM:ASM | |||
Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | 10.3% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 3.4% | 15.8% | ||
3Y CAGR | 163.9% | 1.6% | 30.5% | 9.6% | -12.7% | 80.6% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 18.6% | 15.1% | 9.5% | 1.7% | -10.2% | 56.3% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -75.2% | 18.8% | -131.4% | -2.5% | 0.0% | -38.8% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | -48.3% | 11.6% | -36.7% | 3.0% | -14.8% | 1.2% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | -23.0% | -0.8% | -44.9% | -14.5% | 0.0% | 12.2% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -15.5% | -3.7% | -48.0% | -29.1% | 4.1% | 18.1% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.9x | 3.3x | -138.4x | 36.8x | 10.8x | 18.4x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 1.2x | 1.4x | 5.8x | 6.6x | 2.7x | 7.0x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | -7.7x | -36.9x | -12.2x | -22.8x | 65.9x | 38.6x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 1.2x | 2.7x | 6.6x | |||||
Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 1.4x | 2.3x | 27.1x | |||||
Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 5.4x | 5.7x | 6.0x | |||||
(x) LTM Sales | 73 | 73 | 73 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 392 | 412 | 433 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 145.2 | 145.2 | 145.2 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 2.70 | 2.84 | 2.98 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 2.70 | 2.84 | 2.98 | 3.37 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -19.9% | -15.7% | -11.5% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | GSVR | JAG | USA | EDR | FM | ASM | |
Value of Common Equity | 96 | 211 | 601 | 1,443 | 13,327 | 489 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 482.3 | 79.3 | 652.4 | 289.9 | 828.0 | 145.2 | |
Implied Stock Price | 0.20 | 2.66 | 0.92 | 4.98 | 16.09 | 3.37 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.28 | 3.67 | 1.27 | 6.86 | 22.18 | 3.37 | |
Trading Currency | CAD | CAD | CAD | CAD | CAD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 1.00 |