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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | -17.6x - -19.4x | -18.5x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 119.0x - 131.6x | 125.3x |
Fair Value | $21.14 - $23.36 | $22.25 |
Upside | 2.0% - 12.8% | 7.4% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
NIO Inc. | - | NYSE:NIO |
Li Auto Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:LI |
Chijet Motor Company, Inc. | - | NasdaqGM:CJET |
Rivian Automotive, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:RIVN |
Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC | - | NasdaqGM:PSNY.W |
XPeng Inc. | - | NYSE:XPEV |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
NIO | LI | CJET | RIVN | PSNY.W | XPEV | |||
NYSE:NIO | NasdaqGS:LI | NasdaqGM:CJET | NasdaqGS:RIVN | NasdaqGM:PSNY.W | NYSE:XPEV | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | ||
3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -7.1% | -31.4% | 41.2% | 12.6% | -341.6% | 44.2% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -41.8% | -9.8% | -774.1% | -19580.5% | -60.9% | -44.5% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | -38.0% | 9.5% | -516.4% | -122.5% | -19.5% | -33.8% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | -34.5% | 5.6% | -718.2% | -95.5% | -50.2% | -14.2% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -34.5% | 5.6% | -485.7% | -95.5% | -68.1% | -14.2% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | -3.7x | 11.2x | -11.5x | -3.0x | -3.9x | -25.2x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 1.0x | 1.4x | 0.8x | 2.8x | 1.2x | 3.5x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | -2.8x | 24.3x | -0.2x | -2.9x | -1.7x | -24.7x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -2.9x | -1.7x | 24.3x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -61.8x | -24.7x | -7.3x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | -17.6x | -18.5x | -19.4x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | (5,790) | (5,790) | (5,790) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 101,622 | 106,970 | 112,319 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 950.1 | 950.1 | 950.1 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 106.96 | 112.59 | 118.22 | |||||
FX Rate: CNY/USD | 7.3 | 7.3 | 7.3 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 14.72 | 15.49 | 16.27 | 20.72 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -29.0% | -25.2% | -21.5% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | NIO | LI | CJET | RIVN | PSNY.W | XPEV | |
Value of Common Equity | 64,477 | 195,168 | 9 | 13,682 | 3,528 | 143,061 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 2,102.4 | 1,006.9 | 5.4 | 1,130.7 | 18,517.4 | 950.1 | |
Implied Stock Price | 30.67 | 193.82 | 1.62 | 12.10 | 0.19 | 150.58 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 7.27 | 7.27 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 7.27 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 4.22 | 26.67 | 1.62 | 12.10 | 0.19 | 20.72 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 7.27 | 7.27 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 7.27 |