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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 13.2x - 14.6x | 13.9x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 9.5x - 10.5x | 10.0x |
Fair Value | $61.51 - $69.34 | $65.42 |
Upside | -12.4% - -1.2% | -6.8% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
ManpowerGroup Inc. | MAN | NYSE:MAN |
Barrett Business Services, Inc. | BBSI | NasdaqGS:BBSI |
Robert Half Inc. | RHI | NYSE:RHI |
Kelly Services, Inc. | KELY.A | NasdaqGS:KELY.A |
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. | ADP | NasdaqGS:ADP |
TriNet Group, Inc. | TNET | NYSE:TNET |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
MAN | BBSI | RHI | KELY.A | ADP | TNET | ||
NYSE:MAN | NasdaqGS:BBSI | NYSE:RHI | NasdaqGS:KELY.A | NasdaqGS:ADP | NYSE:TNET | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | -11.5% | 3.3% | -14.1% | -2.0% | 10.2% | -1.0% | |
3Y CAGR | -14.4% | 10.5% | -28.2% | 10.3% | 12.7% | -16.9% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -25.1% | 4.9% | -42.4% | 18.7% | 8.4% | -47.0% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 3.0% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 2.0% | 27.4% | 9.7% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 2.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 28.4% | 10.7% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 2.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 29.1% | 5.7% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 2.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 29.4% | 4.8% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.20x | 0.95x | 0.67x | 0.16x | 6.28x | 0.81x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.7x | 17.3x | 17.1x | 5.9x | 21.3x | 17.0x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 12.1x | 18.4x | 22.7x | 9.3x | 23.6x | 19.4x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.9x | 17.1x | 21.3x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.5x | 13.2x | 13.8x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 13.2x | 13.9x | 14.6x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 238 | 238 | 238 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 3,139 | 3,304 | 3,469 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (628) | (628) | (628) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 2,511 | 2,676 | 2,841 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 48.6 | 48.6 | 48.6 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 51.67 | 55.07 | 58.47 | ||||
FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 51.67 | 55.07 | 58.47 | 70.20 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -26.4% | -21.5% | -16.7% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | MAN | BBSI | RHI | KELY.A | ADP | TNET | |
Enterprise Value | 3,471 | 1,107 | 3,755 | 691 | 126,970 | 4,039 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 290 | 99 | 342 | 28 | 2,681 | 407 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (1,723) | (23) | (243) | (266) | (4,367) | (1,035) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (1) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 2,038 | 1,183 | 3,855 | 453 | 125,284 | 3,411 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 46.3 | 25.7 | 100.4 | 35.2 | 405.9 | 48.6 | |
Implied Stock Price | 44.03 | 46.08 | 38.39 | 12.86 | 308.64 | 70.20 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 44.03 | 46.08 | 38.39 | 12.86 | 308.64 | 70.20 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |